APOEL – Midtjylland

APOEL Midtjylland betting tipsMidtjylland face the tough task of overcoming a 2-1 first leg deficit when they travel to Nicosia to take on APOEL in the Champions League qualies 3rd round.

APOEL proved that they are the superior team in the first leg, controlling the match tactically and being close to put the qualification away, until Midtjylland hit late for a consolation goal that will give them some hope. Despite playing less competitive football this season and having to play away on an artificial pitch, APOEL showed why experts are considering them to have an excellent team this year, much better than in the last season, when they still managed to win the Cypriot title.

FC Midtjylland is in good form domestically, winning all three games played in the Danish League and they didn`t play bad in the first leg with APOEL – having many chances to score. But their youth and lack of experienced proved to be the deciding factor against a seasoned team like APOEL, filled with experienced players. Midtjylland will try to translate some of their form into this reverse leg – after all we are talking about a team that won all 5 competitive matches this season aside for the APOEL match (also beat Lincoln Red Imps 3-0 aggregate). They are on the back of a 1-0 win with Odense.

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With one more match under their belts and coming back at home after the first leg win, APOEL Nicosia must be favored to win this as well – note that they won 9 of their last 12 home games, but they did struggle on home court in recent European games. However, APOEL wasn`t able to beat Vardar in the previous qualifying leg (1-1, 0-0) and Midtjylland is a dangerous side, so I am not too confident on backing an APOEL win.

The bet that seems to make most sense is the over on the under / over market. APOEL is a defensive side, thus the generous odds, but Midtjylland plays a much more fluent game and they will come to Cyprus to play attacking football – there`s really no other choice, as they need to score at least twice. APOEL will have plenty of spaces to exploit and at such odds, surely a bet on the over is worth the risk.

These being said, my tip on this Champions League qualifier is over 2,5 goals to be scored – but for better safety the “over 2” also has a solid price at odds around 1.70, clearly playable. I`m choosing the best value though. Prediction: APOEL Nicosia – Midtjylland 2-1.

Pick: over 2,5
Odds: 2.35 @ Unibet
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 9.45
Event date: 4 August

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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