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APOEL hosts PSG in Nicosia in the 3rd round of the Champions League Group F. APOEL has 1 point, PSG has 4 points and the french team is favored with odds of 1.50 for this clash.
The Cypriot team was not bad at all in first two games … 1-0 loss at Barcelona (good result even if Barcelona was not too interested) and followed by 1-1 home draw with Ajax. Hosts are a good organized defensive team but their attacking options are obviously very limited at this level … they had 28% possession with Barca and 38% with Ajax, very few chances created. In Cyprus they are on 1st place, 5 wins and 1 draw, 10-2 goal difference. Unfortunately for APOEL team news for this match are not good: Aloneftis, Kissas and Papazoglou are unavailable. Manduca, De Vincenti, Carlao, Vinicius, Riise, Morais and Sotiriou all have fitness problems and at least 2 or 3 are expected to miss the game.
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PSG still without Ibrahimovic, also Lavezzi and Marquinos are out and Luiz, Matuidi, Thiago Silva are questionable. But with the same team news PSG played a good game on Friday to defeat Lens 3-1 on the road and ended a string of draws in Ligue 1. PSG will be focused to get the three points today, after the superb 3-2 win vs. Barcelona they have a real chance to finish 1st in the group and will not want to miss that. Visitors are undefeated in all competitions this season.
APOEL is not an easy team to beat but the absences they have and fitness problems I find it hard to believe they can resist PSG. APOEL is not a team with sufficient depth to replace so many players, so I believe they will struggle today and end up not only losing, but losing via handicap. Expect PSG to hold at least 60% of the ball and with the talent they have they will surely punish the hosts. Ibrahimovic is out but Cavani will be ecstatic to be the focal point of the offense and prove his worth .. especially that he won`t play the next matches in Ligue 1 because of a suspension. PSG has problems of their own in defense, but with APOEL’s limited offensive weapons, those absences lose their importance in my opinion. My tip will be a PSG win with a 1 goal asian handicap. Correct score prediction: APOEL Nicosia – PSG 1-3.
Pick: PSG (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.85 @ Bet365
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 7.65
Event date: 21 October
A tip i like here is under 1 at ht.
aloneftis is injured, de vicentis will start on the bench.
clearly defensive line-up from the cyprios.
if psg break the gates, it could finish 2-0 and cover your handicpap but a 0-0 or 0-1 is also very likely
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