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AS Roma are in their second season under Rudi Garcia, mastermind coach. They are playing very well. In his first season AS Roma managed to finish second in the standings after gathering 85 points. It’s a remarkable performance but they still did not win the title because Juventus made an incredible season. But Roma got what they wanted, the ticket to Champions League football.
In their first 2 games Roma played very well, winning 5-1 at home vs CSKA and drawing 1-1 away at Manchester City. Roma was unlucky to receive an early penalty in England but after that they managed to balance the game. Roma’s style is an interesting one. They play 4-3-3 but sometimes it’s 3-4-3 because Maicon is often too lazy to come back in defence. Their main strength is passing with patience. They have the best possession in Serie A, 59.3 better than Juve. However they are the 11th team judging by shots on target per game, yet they are second in the standings. This tells us that they keep the ball, do not shoot often, but are very efficient when going for goal. A big blow for Roma is the absence of Iturbe.
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According to German newspaper Kicker, probable teams and injuries look like this:
Roma: de Sanctis – Maicon, Manolas, Yanga-Mbiwa, Holebas – Pjanic, de Rossi, Nainggolan – Florenzi, Totti, Gervinho
Injuries: Castan, Balzaretti, Strootman, Keita, Iturbe
Bayern: Neuer – Rafinha, Boateng, Dante, Alaba – Lahm, Alonso – Robben, Müller, Götze – Lewandowski
Injuries: Schweinsteiger, Reina, Starke, Badstuber, Javi, Thiago
Given all that i have written so far i think we will have a very boring game. Both coaches like a game based on possession, both coaches know that 1 point is pretty good – Bayern will have 7 while Roma will have 5. I think Bayern will not have more than 50% possession and in these conditions i do not think they will score more than once. Roma is a very calm team, that does not panic when another team takes the lead, just see their commanding performance away at Manchester City. And there’s the added excitement of their first Champions League season in 10 years. Stadium will be full. Most of the players have not played Champions League football before. Some of them have (Gervinho with Lille, Pjanic with Lyon, Maicon and Ashley Cole) but most have not, so they will be very focused. If Bayern scores first, maybe we will see an open game, but i do not think they will score first.
Pick: under 2,75 goals
Odds: 1.94 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.52
Event date: 21 October
