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BATE Borisov hosts Athletic Bilbao in the Champions League group stage 2nd round after both teams got disappointing results 2 weeks ago.
I don’t think anybody expected BATE, a team with UCL experience and in good form, to lose 6-0 to Porto. However they did … and they seem to be unable to recover: besides the Porto loss BATE now has 3 draws in a row in Belarus, a weak league, so there are reasons to worry looking at the visit from Bilbao. The good news for BATE is that they have no injuries or suspensions (only Tubic is doubtful). Hosts postponed their league game in the weekend to be fresh for today.
BATE Borisov lineup: Chernik – Filipenko, Khagush, Polyakov, Mladenovic – Volodko, Pavlov, Olekhnovich, Gordeychuk, Karnitskiy – Rodionov
Fortunately for BATE, Bilbao is not doing much better either … in the last 5 matches Athletic has 2 draws and 3 losses and scored a single goal! After eliminating Napoli from the UCL playoff Athletic simply collapsed, they are playing horrible, can’t create chances. Couple of days ago they finished 0-0 with Eibar at home. In UCL two weeks ago they got a 0-0 draw vs. Shakhter at home but did not really deserved the result. Aketxe is the only missing player for Bilbao today.
Athletic Bilbao lineup: Iraizoz – Iraola, Balenziaga, Laporte, Gurpegi – Benat, Iturraspe, Mikel Rico – Aduriz, Muniain, Susaeta
Yes BATE was destroyed by Porto but they are better than that and are a different animal at home … also a travel to Belarus is tough for any team from the West. After getting 6 goals from Porto I am sure BATE have focused big time on defense in training and will be very careful at the back today … Bilbao looks they can’t score a goal if their lives depend on it, so there are very high chances to see an under 2,5 game. It will be a tight and rugged encounter in Belarus, two out of form teams, an encounter nobody can afford to lose … so no risks will be taken. I thought the under will have odds of maximum 1.60, I am excited to tip & bet the under 2,5 at 1.79 at 10Bet. Correct score prediction: BATE Borisov – Athletic Bilbao 0-0.
Pick: under 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.79 @ 10Bet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.32
Event date: 30 September
