America MG hosts Chapecoense in round 12 of the Serie A. It is also the last round before the WC break so picking up a positive result is imperative in this potentialy very even match. The hosts are the newcomers in the league and are doing o.k. though have been much better earlier in the season. Now they are on a bit of a slump losing 4 of the last 5 matches but to some strong teams. Facing Sao Paulo, Atletico, Gremio, Corinthians was never going to be easy. America is very much dependant on their home form where they have 4-0-2 and have only lost to the very top teams. They are ranked 13`th with 13 points.
Chapecoense is ranked 14`th with also 13 points and has the same kind of trouble as America. They are so weak on the road and in fact have the worst away defense conceding 15 goals so far. The also scored 5 goals but 3 in the match against Atletico Mineiro. The form is somewhat better for Chapecoense lately as they picked up some important home wins, especially against Cruizero. And when we add that great 3:3 draw against third Mineiro it comes to only 1 loss in the last 4 matches. An interesting fact is that they scored 2 goals against Mineiro with a man less for an hour. It just may be the sign of things going for the better on the road. Against America Chape has good stats and they won 3 of 4 matches played.
An important loss for Chape today is the suspended first scorer Arthur(11-4) while they also miss Apodi (def.11-0);Fabrício Bruno(def.0-0), Vinicius Freitas(def.3-0), Guilherme(att.7-1), Neto(def.0-0) and Khevin (mid.0-0); Moisés Ribeiro (def.0-0).
The hosts have trouble in defense missing Aderlan(def.6-0) and Giovanni (def.7-2); João Ricardo(keeper.7-0), Lima(derf.0-0), Carlinhos(def.5-1), Luan(att.8-0) and Matheusinho(att.0-0).
The teams have the capacity for goals and both average 3 goals per game. We should see 3 goals today.
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Pick: over 2.5
Bookmaker: ➾ Pinnacle
Stake: 8 units
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