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AS Rome v Lazio

It is one of the biggest match in Italy, Rome Derby.

Their last league victory over Genoa brought team Champions League spot again. I'm more interested in goals on this match. AS Roma has average 2,08 xG this season, this ratio raises 2,60 xG when they play at home. It shows they created big goal chances almost 3 times at home matches. 12/20 matches finished overs for AS Roma, 7/10 home matches overs. So, its obvious that they find goals more easily.

Lazio is my favourite team to watch this season. They play great offensive football with manager Simone Inzaghi. League goal scorer Immobile does his busines very easily, scored 23 goals in 19 league matches. They are yet to lose a match when he scored. 15/19 Lazio matches finished overs.

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Pick: over 2.75 goals
Odds: 1.78
➾ Pinnacle
Stake: 8 units
Tipster: Damir

TIPSTER: DamirTotal profit: +155.98Tips won: 244
Country: GermanyTotal yield: +4.43%Tips lost: 180
Speciality: FootballTotal picks: 452Tips pushed: 28
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