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Bournemouth - Watford

One of the most important match up for relegation zone. Bournemouth is in a free fall, 1W-1D-8L on last 8. Due to the long injury list of key players, they are now out of their regular game style. Cherries had 1.57 xG last season but it is now 1.23 xG per match. It shows how their big chances decreased. They play offensive football so giving goal chances opponents are more important for me. They conceded 1.78 xGA after 17 matches. Almost 2 goals per game.

Watford made a big jump since new manager Pearson took charge. He is now 3W-2D-1L. Victories were against Man Utd, Aston villa and Wolves and draw with rising team Sheff Utd. I have tendency back Watford but overs look more solid to me when i think more both teams will find the net today.

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Pick: over 2.5 goals
Odds: 2
➾ Pinnacle
Stake: 8 units
Tipster: Damir

TIPSTER: DamirTotal profit: +171.98Tips won: 244
Country: GermanyTotal yield: +4.91%Tips lost: 178
Speciality: FootballTotal picks: 450Tips pushed: 28
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