Marseille is coming off 5-2 victory over Leipzig at Europa League. They are in Semi Finals at Europa League. I firstly checked what Marseille did after a mid week game. They played 11 Europa League games this season. Marseille won 7 league games after 2-3 days rest. Lost 1 game to PSG and Lyon, got draw against PSG and Montpellier. I think this is pretty good results when you reckon midweek game. It shows manager Rudi Garcia did well at rotation and recovery process.
Marseille is chasing 3rd spot for Champions League with Lyon. Marseille was 5 points up 3 matches ago. But they lost 5 points in these last 3 games. They have no more tolerance to lose points. They should be in a better motivation after Leipzig result. If we exclude top-5 teams in league; Marseille is 17W-7D-0L in 24 league games. They are 9W-1D in 10 games against bottom-6 teams.
Troyes is in a relegation war. 21 of 29 points came at home games. However, most of the victories were agaisnt bottom-7 teams at home. They have very bad record against Top-5 teams. They lost 6 of 7 meetings against Top-5. Apart from records, Troyes is also in a bad form. They got only 2 points in last 7 games. Marseille won the first meeting 3-1 and I expect 0-1 0-2 results.
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Pick: Marseille -0.5 Asian H
Bookmaker: ➾ Unibet
Stake: 9 units
|TIPSTER: Damir||Total profit: +47.01||Tips won: 134|
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