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Valencia - Crvena Zvezda

This season Valencia didn't cover this kind of spread at home only 3 times out of 14 games played. They didn't do it against Real Madrid, Barcelona and Partizan. It should be mentioned that these games were all at the start of the season. Also I rate Crvena Zvezda stronger team than Partizan but I simply have to take Valencia here. Valencia has solid defense and solid offense, especially at home. On other hand Crvena Zvezda is similar, both solid offensively and defensively but in their last ABA game against Igokea some problems were visible, they didn't score as much as bookies expected...at least 10 points less. Also Crvena Zvezda will have some missings in their roster.

These two teams both played against Partizan and Unicaja. Valencia won against Partizan twice with similar margin like Crvena Zvezda while against Unicaja things were opposite. Valencia at home won 85:74 against Unicaja while Crvena Zvezda lost in Malaga with 79:74. Considering that Valencia defense is better than Unicaja's then we should expect less points from Belgrade team than they had in Malaga while I expect similar or better performance of Valencia. Both teams will not relax until the end since the point difference will be important in return games in case of same number of points on standings.

I could see 80:69 result in this game.

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Pick: Valencia -7
Odds: 1.97
➾ Pinnacle
Stake: 7 units
Tipster: Eastwood

TIPSTER: EastwoodTotal profit: +113.25Tips won: 57
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Speciality: BasketballTotal picks: 92Tips pushed: 2
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