Dortmund – Real Madrid

Borussia Dortmund Real Madrid bet

Borussia Dortmund will host Real Madrid in the most anticipated Champions League clash of the week. Both teams won their opening games, Dortmund a fabulous 6-0 road victory in Warsaw, Real Madrid a late and lucky 2-1 win over Sportung.

Dortmund has been absolutely unforgiving this season, blowing out everybody and scoring for fun. The hosts won 6 out of 8 games this season, netting 25 times in those 6 victories – an average of over 4 goals per game! Their only hiccups were a 0-2 loss to Bayern in the opening match of the season (Supercup) and a shock 0-1 defeat at Leipzig. Dortmund has won the last 4 matches against Legia, Darmstadt, Wolfsburg and Frankfurt with a goal difference of 20-2!

Real Madrid has not lost a match since early April and is ticking like a Swiss watch in terms of results. However, unlike Dortmund, Los Blancos are not particularly impressive when it comes to the level of football. Their wins are more pragmatic than emphatic and they also had a fair share of luck recently. Actually, even the results have suffered a bit lately, with Real Madrid drawing with Villarreal and Las Palmas in the last two matches.

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Team news & lineups:

Subotic, Reus, Durm, Bender, Bartra and possibly Schurrle will miss for Dortmund. Real Madrid will have to do without Marcelo and Casemiro.

Borussia Dortmund: Burki – Piszczek, Sokratis, Ginter, Schmelzer – Weigl – Pulisic, Gotze, Guerreiro, Dembele – Aubameyang

Real Madrid: Navas – Carvajal, Varane, Ramos, Nacho – Kroos, Modric, Isco – Bale, Benzema, Ronaldo

Goals are expected by everybody in this clash, but I would not count on that. Dortmund might score 5 or 6 goals per game recently, but they can not do that against a team like Real Madrid in a clash that seems very evenly matched. The same can be said about the visitors – who haven’t even been that impressive up front over the last few weeks.

I don’t expect the two teams to go full steam at each other or to play all out attacking football. We know both can score, but I just don’t think this is that kind of match. It is a balanced, important Champions League clash and it will be difficult for each side to break the other down. Recent results support this theory, with the last 3 direct meetings ending 2-0, 3-0 and 2-0.

With the current odds, we can afford to bet on the 3.5 goal line and still get an excellent price. The under 3,5 provides decent margin so error, so that will be my tip. Prediction: Borussia Dortmund – Real Madrid 2-1.

Pick: under 3,5 goals
Odds: 1.82 @ 1xBet
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 5.74
Event date: 27 September

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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