Cagliari – Juventus

Cagliari will host Juventus in the 20th round of the Serie A, with the competition set two take a two week break after this weekend.

Cagliari is coming after an impressive 2-1 victory at Atalanta before the New Year, but it was their first win in the last 7 games. Since mid November, Cagliari recorded two draws and four losses in six games before claiming that victory at Atalanta. The hosts are sitting on the 15th place in the Serie A and will love to get a draw against the reigning champions, although that will be a very difficult proposition for sure.

Juve has been in great form lately, closing the gap to Napoli at the top of the table, and now only trailing them by one point. The visitors have 5 consecutive wins in all competitions, and the only time they failed to win in the last 9 games was in a draw against Inter one month ago. Juventus is on the back of a 2-0 win in the Cup against rivals Torino, winning that game despite resting some players.

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Team news & lineups:

Dessena, Pedro and Miangue will be unavailable for Cagliari, while Barella and Cragno are doubtful. Juventus will only miss Buffon and Howedes.

Cagliari: Rafael – Romagna, Andreolli, Ceppitelli – Van der Wiel, Farago, Ionita, Cigarini, Padoin – Farias, Pavoletti

Juventus: Szczesny – Barzagli, Benatia, Chiellini, Sandro – Pjanic, Khedira, Matuidi – Dybala, Higuain, Mandzukic

It doesn`t take a rocket scientist to figure out that this is a game Juventus should win. They obviously have the quality, but they also have the form and the proper motivation to do so.

Juve will want to stay in touch with Napoli before the two week break in the Serie A starts, and Cagliari is definitely an accessible opponent.

Juventus should take advantage of Cagliari`s rather weak defense, which is conceding an average of 1.58 goals per game, and score a couple of goals. That should be more than enough, as Juventus has allowed just 1 goal in the last 10 games (all competitions)! So you would expect Juve to keep another clean sheet here.

Obviously backing Juventus to win at odds around 1.30 is not the best choice for a singles bet, but backing them to cover a -1 asian handicap at a more reasonable price of 1.50 makes sense – especially considering that 11 of Juve`s 15 wins in the Serie A this season came by 2 or more goals.

There aren`t many reasons to expect an upset from Cagliari, so my tip is Juventus to win and cover a -1 asian handicap. I view this as a simple bet which should at least end up being void if it won`t be a winner. Prediction: Cagliari – Juventus 0-2.

Pick: Juventus (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.51 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 4.08
Event date: 6 January