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A healthy AS Roma side travels to Carpi looking for a 4th successive Serie A win, but the hosts won`t just roll over in front of them, as Carpi is desperate for points.
Carpi is currently 18th in the standings, 5 points behind a non-relegationg spot, so they really need to start racking up some points. Carpi is on the back of 2 consecutive defeats, but a closer look reveals the fact that this side has really stepped it up after the Winter Break. In their 8 matches in 2016 Carpi recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. Not impressive stats, but they had a realy tough schedule. All the losses came away from home and by just 1 goal against top sides like Milan, Napoli and Fiorentina. They also recorded draws against Lazio and Inter. This is a very resilient side that has found its rhythm this year and they are a forced to be reckoned with at home.
Luciano Spaletti seems to have finally found some balance in this AS Roma side. The new manager has now guided the visitors to 3 successive wins against Frosinone (3-1), Sassuolo (2-0) and Sampdoria (2-1). With another accessible game looming in front of them here against Carpi, Roma will hope to make it 4 in a row and maybe end this round on a Champions League spot. They are currently 5th, two points behind 3rd placed Fiorentina.
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Team news & lineups:
Carpi will miss Bianco, Pasciuti, Fedele, Bubnjic and Suagher. AS Roma is healthier than ever, getting most of the players back from injury. Torosidis is the only absentee, but Strootman will also need more time before returning in the lineup, even if he’s finally fit again.
Carpi: Belec – Zaccardo, Romagnoli, Gagliolo – Letizia, Cofie, Porcari, Crimi, Gaudio – Lollo – Mbakogu
AS Roma: Szczesny – Florenzi, Rudiger, Manolas, Digne – Nainggolan, Keita, Pjanic – Perotti, Salah, El Shaarawy
This will not be an easy game for Roma against such a well organized, hard working and desperate team like Carpi. However, Roma’s good form, coupled with the fact that they are healthier than ever makes be believe the visitors will be able to edge it.
My tip will be Roma to win this football game by 1 goal, I reckon it’s the bet with the best value and with definite chances to be a winner as well. 8 of Carpi’s last 9 defeats came by one goal, including the last 4. Look for a close match, with the visitors having the quality and the form to just edge it in the end. Prediction: Carpi – AS Roma 1-2.
Pick: Roma -1 EH – Draw (Roma by 1 goal)
Odds: 3.75 @ Bwin
Stake: 5
Possible profit: 13.75
Event date: 12 February
