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Article written by our friend and editor Alin, Tipsterscorner.com
This is an outright pick for Sao Paulo to win the 2015 / 2016 Copa Libertadores. Sao Paolo is the joint second favorite, along with Rosario Central and behind Boca Juniors. The Brazilians are currently priced at odds 6.00 to win it all by Bwin.
First, let me tell you my background on these kind of picks.
- In the 2010 World Cup I took Holland, for odds 21, reached the final, lost.
- In the 2012 Euro I took Italy, for odds 13, before the Croatia game, reached the final, lost.
- In 2015, I WANTED to take River Plate, before their last 2 group games, odds 21. Asked around, got very negative feedback, skipped it. They won it.
- Now I am taking Sao Paulo to win the Libertadores and this time I think things will go as planned.
Sao Paolo has a great coach in Edgardo Bauza, he won the Libertadores with 2 different teams, San Lorenzo of Argentina and LDU Quito from Ecuador. They also have good chemistry in squad. I wrote about them in the past. They improved their defense, with Lugano and Maicon (from Porto), improved the attack with Calleri, and got some players like Centurion and Ganso to give better performances. The squad is really strong, including many recognizible names that played at the highest level in Europe.
Sao Paolo’s first 11: Denis – Bruno, Maicon, Lugano, Mena – Hudson, Mendes – Wesley, Ganso, Bastos – Calleri
I think fair odds should be around 3.00. I see just 3 teams capable of winning the Libertadores this year: Boca, Nacional Medellin and Sao Paolo. Each with an equal chance. And from these 3 teams, Sao Paolo has the best coach, so there is definitely value.
Also there would be Atletico Mineiro, but now Sao Paolo just won 1-0 against them in the first leg of the quarterfinals and it’s the perfect result. From my stats, in 79% cases, the team that wins the first leg 1-0, manages to qualify themselves.
The result against Mineiro was huge. Not only is Sao Paolo a big favorite to knock out a strong rival, but they also have an advantage over all other clubs. Sao Paolo already played the first leg of the quarterfinals and got an excellent score, while the other teams have not, so they have extra work to do.
At odds 6.00, I am happy to take this bet. I am backing Sao Paolo to win the 2016 Libertadores. As I previously stated, you can find these odds at Bwin.com.
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