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CSKA – Arsenal

CSKA Arsenal Europa League tips

CSKA Moscow will host Arsenal in the second leg of this Europa League quarterfinal tie, with the Russians knowing they need a miracle to advance after losing 1-4 last week in London.

The hosts are on the back of a 1-2 home loss against rivals Dynamo in the Russian Premier League, a devastating defeat which all but ruined CSKA`s chances for the title. After knocking out Lyon from the Europa League a few weeks ago, CSKA`s performances started to drop a bit, with their displays on the defensive end being especially poor. They have been clearly outplayed last week in London and their chances to turn this tie around are slim to say the least.

Arsenal claimed their 6th consecutive win in all competitions on Sunday, defeating Southampton 3-2 in a close match. It wasn`t a great performance by Arsenal, but it was good to get the win in spite of resting some players and having no motivation in the Premier League. Arsenal is playing well right now, they were dominant in the first leg and will feel confident of advancing to the next round.

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Team news & lineups:

Fernandes and Vasin are out for the hosts, while Arsenal will miss Mkhitaryan, Cazorla, Xhaka, Aubameyang and probably Ospina.

CSKA Moscow: Akinfeev – A. Berezutski, V. Berezutski, Ignashevich – Kuchaev, Golovin, Natcho, Dzagoev, Nababkin – Musa, Wernbloom

Arsenal: Cech – Bellerin, Mustafi, Koscielny, Monreal – Elneny, Wilshere – Ramsey, Ozil, Welbeck – Lacazette

The first leg was an entertaining affair and chances are this match could be the same way. Obviously CSKA will need to have an offensive approach considering the deficit they need to overcome, so that should create an open game of football. If that will be the case, goals should be on the cards considering the fact that both teams struggle defensively, but are strong up front.

CSKA has generally been a good defensive team this year, but that has not been the case in the last couple of months. The hosts allowed 9 goals in the last 4 games in all competitions, so they do not defend well right now, but on the other hand they do average 2 goals scored per game over the past month (5 games).

Arsenal`s defensive struggles this season have been well documented, the Mustafi – Koscielny partnership is extremely vulnerable, so it would be surprising if the Gunners escape with a clean sheet from this match. But they are scoring for fun at the moment, averaging exactly 3 goals per game in their last 6 outings (since the winning streak started).

Considering the way these two sides are playing lately, their offensive capabilities and their defensive issues, along with the result from the first leg, a bet on goals makes sense here.

My tip is over 2,5 goals to be scored. Prediction: CSKA Moscow – Arsenal 2-2.

Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.65 @ 18Bet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.20
Event date: 12 April

About Rostick

Former bookie & water polo player. Rugby Union expert. - EDITOR INFO & STATS
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