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Wilder – Fury



Deontay Wilder Tyson Fury betting preview

Deontay Wilder and Tyson Fury will meet Saturday night in Los Angeles, with the highly anticipated boxing bout counting for the WBC Heavyweight title.

Deontay Wilder (40-0-0, 39 KO) looks like the man to beat right now in the Heavyweight division, even if Anthony Joshua holds most belts after his 2017 win over Wladimir Klitschko. The undefeated American has an unbelievable record of 39 KO`s in 40 fights, and his punching power is something to behold. Wilder`s last fight was back in March when he stopped a dangerous Luis Ortiz in the 10th round to defend his WBC title – probably the biggest fight in Wilder`s career.

Tyson Fury (27-0-0, 19 KO) has been through a real roller coaster in the last few years. After stopping Wladimir Klitschko’s dominance with a shocking win back in 2015, Furry struggled with depression and drugs, had his boxing license revoked, and put on weight – reaching as many as 180kgs last year. Now, after a break of almost three years, Fury got himself together and returned to boxing. The Brit had his first fights since 2015 this year, easily defeating two accessible opponents, Seferi and Pianeta.

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Wilder stands at 2.01m tall, with a reach of 211 cm and a weight of 96 kg. Fury stands at 2.05m tall, with a reach of 216cm and a weight of 116kg. This will be a classic meeting between a heavy puncher (Wilder) and a savvy tactician (Fury).

The bookmakers have Wilder as a favorite with odds around 1.65, and indeed many experts are tipping the American to win. His spectacular record and the fact that Fury hasn`t really been active are solid arguments for Wilder.

However, Wilder never really met an opponent of Fury`s caliber, while Fury proved himself against the very best in 2015.

Fury is bigger, longer and heavier, and even more importantly he is one of the smartest Heavyweight fighters you will ever see. The way he outboxed a prime (or close to prime) Wlad Klitschko back in 2015 was a masterclass of tactical boxing, with Klitschko barely able to get any punches in against the Brit.

Fury will look to do the same here against Wilder, keeping him at distance with his jab, using his length and smarts to control the bout tactically and avoid being caught by Wilder`s massive right hand. Fury will know what to expect from Wilder, and with his tactical skill he should be able to dodge the bullets – although he will need to watch out for the American`s superior speed.

Of course, Fury`s inactivity in 2016 and 2017, and the fact that he didn`t have a top fight since 2015, are heavy arguments against the Brit. However, he looks in very good shape, and given his proven mental strength and boxing IQ, one would expect him to be ready for the fight.

Fury isn`t a heavy puncher and chances are he will not knock Wilder out, but I`m betting on his intelligence and tactical expertise to keep Wilder at bay for most of the fight. My tip will be over 9.5 rounds – a bet which offers a safety net in case Fury (who I think will win the fight by decision) will get tired due to his lack of activity, opening things up for Wilder late.

Pick: over 9,5 rounds
Odds: 1.71 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.68
Event date: 2 December

About Rostick

Former bookie & water polo player. Rugby Union expert. - EDITOR INFO & STATS
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