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The Swedish Allsvenskan resumes after a 1 month layoff and the 14th round will see a duel between Djurgarden and Orebro – with both teams currently on long undefeated runs.
The hosts are looking pretty good this season, though they do not have the quality of Goteborg, Malmo, Elfsborg or AIK. Djurgarden is currently on the 5th place and is riding a fantastic 10 match undefeated runs. They won the first 6 matches of this streak, but drew all of the last 4. However, they had a nightmare schedule in these last 4 rounds (AIK, Malmo, Goteborg and 3rd placed Norrkoping), so avoiding defeat was really a special feat. Djurgarden will obviously look to get back to winning ways as they finally have a more accessible game this time around.
Orebro is 14th in the table and has just 11 points in 13 rounds, but the stats are a bit misleading here. Orebro is a solid, mid-table team in Allsvenskan and their poor stats are mostly due to a horrific start to the season. The visitors have not lost in the previous 5 rounds, posting 2 wins before drawing the last 3 games. They had a pretty easy schedule in this run (playing 4 times at home), but they did get an impressive 2-2 draw on the road at Elfsborg, which was a much tougher match than this one is projected to be.
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Team news: The 1 month break will allow both teams to enter this game rested and, according to reports from the official websites, without major new injuries.
I can see Orebro snatching a draw in this one, they have played good football before the layoff and are a better team than their overall stats suggest. Djurgarden has more quality, but not much more and might feel the added pressure of “having to win” after drawing all their last 4 matches. The 1 month layoff could also have an effect and bring unknown factors into the equation, which is never a good thing for the team that is the favorite.
I expect a close game of football with Djurgarden holding most of the ball, but also with Orebro having some good chances on the break. It has to be said that the draw at Elfsborg a few rounds ago was only the second point on the road for Orebro this season, so they clearly need to improve in this department – but their recent run suggests they took the necessary steps. My tip is Orebro +1 asian handicap, but I`m keeping the stakes at a reasonable level on this bet. Prediction: Djurgarden – Orebro 1-1.
Pick: Orebro (+1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.84 @ Sbobet
Stake: 6
Possible profit: 5.04
Event date: 4 July
