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England – Scotland



England Scotland Six Nations betting preview

England will host Scotland at Twickenham, on Saturday, in the final match of the 2019 Six Nations. England will claim the title with a win if Wales doesn`t beat Ireland earlier in the day. If Wales beats Ireland, this will just be a match for honor and for the traditional Calcutta Cup which is played between these two arch rivals.

England has arguably been the best team in this tournament – or, at least, they have played the most exciting rugby. England has by far the best points difference, the most tries scored, and the most bonus points. They won 3 of their 4 matches in completely dominant fashion, but one loss (the 13-21 defeat in Wales in Round 3) has been enough to rip the title out of their hands. Now England must hope Ireland gets a result in Wales earlier in the day – otherwise, they will not win the 2019 Six Nations. Last time out, England handed Italy a 57-14 beating last week, confirming their excellent form.

Scotland had a Six Nations to forget this year. With just one win (against Italy), and with disappointing losses against Ireland, Wales (both at home) and France, the Scots will not be confident coming into this match. While it`s clear that the Scots are not clicking like they have been in the last few years, much (or most) of their problems can be attributed to injuries. They have been heavily shorthanded in this tournament, and that will be the case again today.

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Team news & lineups:

England will field a very strong lineup here, with no injuries, and with a few key players returning after being rested against Italy.

Scotland continues to be decimated by injuries, as the Scots will miss many of their best players, including the likes of Hogg, Jones, Gray, Kinghorn or Seymour. The Scots will make 6 changes to the lineup which lost against Wales last week – some of them due to injuries, some due to choice.

England: 15 Elliot Daly, 14 Jack Nowell, 13 Henry Slade, 12 Manu Tuilagi, 11 Jonny May, 10 Owen Farrell (c), 9 Ben Youngs, 8 Billy Vunipola, 7 Tom Curry, 6 Mark Wilson, 5 George Kruis, 4 Joe Launchbury, 3 Kyle Sinckler, 2 Jamie George, 1 Ben Moon

Scotland: 15 Sean Maitland, 14 Darcy Graham, 13 Nick Grigg, 12 Sam Johnson, 11 Byron McGuigan, 10 Finn Russell, 9 Ali Price, 8 Magnus Bradbury, 7 Hamish Watson, 6 Sam Skinner, 5 Grant Gilchrist, 4 Ben Toolis, 3 Willem Nel, 2 Stuart McInally (c), 1 Allan Dell

Scotland finally got one over England last year after 10 failed tries, beating the Red Rose for the first time since 2008. But Scotland has not won on English soil since 1983, and it`s highly unlikely for that to change this year.

The Scots have truly been cursed with injuries this season, and at this level you just can`t compete without half a dozen or more of your best, most impactful players. Their performances suffered immensely because of this absences, and that affected morale, which in turn affected the performances even more.

Challenging England at Twickenham with all these injuries, and in their current form, seems virtually impossible for Scotland – especially when you consider their abysmal form away from home in the Six Nations. Even when in great form, Scotland kept on losing on the road. In fact, the last time they beat anybody other than Italy on the road in this tournament was back in 2010!

England is playing top class attacking rugby right now, the Red Rose is clicking on all cylinders and they will smell blood here against their rivals. If Ireland gets a result in Wales, England will have a shot at the title and will obviously push like crazy in an insane atmosphere. But even if the title is gone come game time, the hosts are sure to still try their best – because it`s rugby, because it`s Scotland, and because the Calcutta Cup (currently held by the Scots) is at stake.

The current handicap line, set at 18.5 points, might seem high at first sight. But if Scotland isn`t careful, this could get really ugly and similar to their last trip at Twickenham, when they lost 21-60 back in 2017. And when you think about the fact that Scotland lost by 17 against the lousy France in their only road game in this year`s Six Nations, this 18.5 point spread really doesn`t seem that high anymore.

England is superior to Scotland in all aspects of the game right now, even on the wings – where Scotland usually excels. With the Red Rose also owning superior morale and confidence, it`s hard to see anything else other than a dominant home win here.

My tip will be England to win and cover the 18,5 point handicap – no matter if the title will be decided or not before game time. Prediction: England – Scotland 41 – 13.

Pick: England -18,5
Odds: 1.92 @ Unibet
Stake: 10
Possible profit: 9.20
Event date: 16 March

About Rostick

Former bookie & water polo player. Rugby Union expert. - EDITOR INFO & STATS
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