Botosani – Dinamo Buc

Botosani Dinamo Liga 1 prediction

FC Botosani will host Dinamo Bucharest in the 15th round of the Romanian Liga 1, with the two teams currently fighting for a playoff position.

FC Botosani had a good start to the season and is 5th in the standings, but recently their level of play dropped a bit on the offensive end – where they are usually very competent. Botosani scored just 1 goal in the last three rounds, but still gained 4 points from those matches, which is a good return considering they met good teams like Viitorul or league leaders CFR (holding them to a 0-0 draw away from home last weekend).

Dinamo Bucharest (7th place) has been going through a very difficult period lately, and a run of poor results saw them falling from title contention to a midtable position. The Red Dogs finally claimed a win last round after failing to do so for 5 consecutive rounds, but to be fair they weren`t very impressive in a 3-0 home victory over last placed Juventus. Dinamo met a very poor team, and still had a scare with Juventus missing a penalty at 0-0.

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Team news & lineups:

Botosani will miss Fulop and Elek, while Dumitras and Ciaccheri are doubtful. Dinamo has a full squad available. There are rumours that Dinamo might change from a 4-2-3-1 to a 4-3-3, but it`s impossible to anticipate if that will be the case. Personally I doubt it, I think if Miriuta wanted to change the system he would have done it last round in an easier game which was right after the International break.

FC Botosani: Cobrea – Ungurusan, Miron, Burca, Musat – Tincu, Bordeianu – Roman, Morutan, Bus – Popa

Dinamo Bucharest: Penedo – Romera, Nedelcearu, Katsikas, Filip – Anton, Mahlangu – Hanca, Costache, Salomao – Nemec

Since Vasile Miriuta took over as Dinamo manager three rounds ago not much has changed with the team, which continues to be extremely vulnerable at the back even against the lowest level of opposition. Dinamo kept just 4 clean sheets in 14 rounds this season – three of them were against the worst two teams in the league (Juventus twice, Sepsi), and one was early in the season against Viitorul, when Viitorul rested its best players as they were playing in Europe at that time.

Even if Botosani has struggled up front lately, failing to score in the previous two rounds, they remain an offensive minded side and should be able to find the net at least once against this poor Dinamo defense. At the same time Dinamo has the attacking quality to score once or twice.

Matches in Botosani between these two teams have always been entertaining, as Botosani never parked the bus at home against Dinamo, always played aggressive football, and thus there were open spaces to exploit for both sides.

Since Botosani got promoted in 2013, they played 4 times at home against Dinamo with the following results: 1-2, 3-2, 1-1, 2-1. Earlier this season Botosani won 1-0 in Bucharest, but it was a very good game which could have easily seen 3 or 4 goals.

This season an average of 2.43 goals per game has been scored in Botosani’s matches, while for Dinamo the average stands at 2.57 goals per game. What`s more, in Botosani’s home matches there is an average of 3.29 goals / game being scored, a statistic which says a lot about how this team plays at home.

I reckon a bet on over 2,5 goals has some good value and is worthy of a medium stakes investment, but I highly recommend going with the more secure “over 2 (asian) goals” if you can. Odds are still solid, and this option gives us a safety net which could prove to be very important.

My tip is over 2 goals to be scored, this looks like a 1.50 bet to me, but we get odds of almost 1.70 for it. Prediction: FC Botosani – Dinamo Bucharest 2-1.

Pick: over 2 goals
Odds: 1.68 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.44
Event date: 23 October

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

6 comments

  1. It rained today in Botosani and might rain at game time. The pitch might not be in ideal condition. It was a mistake from my part to ignore the weather, but I still trust the bet, we`re not talking about storms or anything like that.

  2. Quality is on Dinamo. I mean..the players. Why 2-1 ? I find good x2 for 1.50 🙂

    • Yea, but Dinamo isn`t playing well and it`s never easy to win in Botosani. Plus, Dinamo always had difficult matches there. But that score prediction is just orientative, it`s not like I`m betting on Botosani to win. Good luck if you choose to go with the x2.

  3. With that weather indeed, luck played a big part. Congrats for the very nice tip on Dallas – GS!!
    My tip for today is Sepsi – CSU Romanian Cup 1x @ 2.3
    Reasons: Sepsi is a good team (even though the ranking doesn’t show that). Weather. Upcoming match for CSU against FCSB.
    How do you feel about GG3+ at Inter-Sampdoria ?

    • There were a lot of huge chances and the bet should have been won. A bit of bad luck, but that`s betting. With Sepsi it depends on what team Craiova will field, if they rest players then I guess it makes sense.
       
      I have no idea about Inter, I don`t follow Italian football.

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