Porto – Leicester

fc porto leicester city prediction

While Leicester City already won this Champions League Group G, Porto will play this match with qualification on the table. Porto will qualify if Copenhagen does not win in Brugge, but if Copenhagen wins, Porto needs to win as well.

Porto sits just 2 points above Copenhagen in the standings and they trail in the H2H results, but qualification is in their hands. Nevertheless, Porto can`t be particularly confident considering their recent record. The hosts scored a single goal in their last 5 matches (!!) in all competitions and obviously won only one of those 5 matches. On the bright side, that happened a few days ago against Braga (1-0), giving Porto some morale ahead of this clash.

Leicester managed to lose against Sunderland over the weekend, yet another Premier League loss which sent the reigning Champions on the 16th place. In the Champions League however Leicester has been a different animal, losing just 2 points so far in this group – mainly because UCL has been the club’s main focus in the first part of the season. However, this time Premier League will take priority, as Leicester is already qualified from this group and they have a key game coming up against Manchester City.

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Team news & lineups:

Porto’s only injury worry is the doubtful Neves. Leicester will miss Schmeichel and Chillwell, while Mendy is slightly questionable, but Ranieri might decide to rest some of the key guys as well. However, reports are predicting a pretty strong Leicester lineup.

FC Porto: Casillas – Pereira, Marcano, Felipe, Layun – Pereira – Corona, Torres, Otavio – Jota, Silva

Leicester City: Zieler – Simpson, Hernandez, Morgan, Fuchs – Mahrez, Mendy, Drinkwater, Musa – Okazaki, Ulloa (Vardy)

Leicester City can treat this match with no pressure and will most likely rest some players. Their focus this week will be on the Premier League, but even so the visitors might surprise people in Portugal.

This kind of game is exactly what Leicester likes the most. They can concede possession, defend with patience against an offensively challenged team and explode on counters.They can play freely with no pressure. Also, the confidence the Foxes have in Champions League due to the recent results will be very important.

Porto is clearly the more motivated side here, but even so I feel odds on them dropped too much and are unjustifiably low – especially considering how poor Porto plays lately. This will be the kind of game Leicester likes and there`s also the fact that Porto would be satisfied with any result if Copenhagen falls behind in Brugge. That is unlikely, but it is a possibility. My tip is Leicester City to cover the 1,5 handicap. Prediction: FC Porto – Leicester City 1-1.

Pick: Leicester +1,5
Odds: 1.99 @ Slbet
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 6.93
Event date: 7 December

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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