Sevilla – Espanyol

Sevilla Espanyol betting previewSevilla comes into this game with a big handicap to recover, after losing 3-1 in the first leg of this Copa del Rey tie. However, Carlos Bacca’s last minute goal gave the Andalusians some hope, as now they only need a not-so-difficult 2-0 win to qualify.

The real question is, does Sevilla care about the Copa? Well maybe they do, but i do not think they will change their rotation policy. So I think they will start with the same players as last week, which pretty much means a weakened Sevilla lineup, with Bacca (Sevilla’s goal scorer with 12 goals) again starting on the bench. I think that Sevilla will focus mostly on the league, especially since falling to #5 after the painful 3-1 loss at Valencia (their direct rivals, who now moved to #4 spot).

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Espanyol is sitting comfortably in the first half of the standings, they have no chance to relegate and very slim chances of fighting for Europa League. Like i said last week, their main objective is to get far in the Copa del Rey, because Barcelona (who will probably qualify) is on the other side of the draw, so Espanyol have only teams like Villareal to overcome until the final, where they will probably meet Barcelona. So it seems Espanyol have an exciting season in front of them and from all the teams they are the ones that took the cup most seriously so far. They will play their best lineup for sure.

I think the game will start rather quietly with cautious football, Sevilla know that a goal in each half is enough. But i think this approach will suit Espanyol, who know how to play counter-attacking football and have a big fat lead they can defend. Espanyol +1.5 handicap is my pick and I will stake my usual 8 units on the prediction.

Pick: Espanyol +1,5
Odds: 1.54 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 4.32
Event date: 29 January

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