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FCSB – Viktoria Plzen

FCSB Viktoria Plzen Europa League prediction

FCSB and Viktoria Plzen will meet in the first round of the Europa League Group G. Interestingly, the two sides already met twice this season in the Champions League qualifiers, where FCSB won 6-3 on aggregate (2-2 home, 4-1 away).

Unfortunately for FCSB that qualification against Plzen was pretty much the only good thing they did this season. The Romanian vice champions went on to be humbled by Sporting Lisbon 5-1 aggregate, and they are not doing well in Romania either. FCSB is 4th in the standings after 9 matches, but their level of play is even worse, with most of their wins coming by 1 goal. Mood in the squad is poor, with clinches between players and the coaching staff reported over the week.

Viktoria Plzen has not lost a game since being trashed 4-1 at home by FCSB in the second leg of the Champions League qualifiers 3rd round. Having dropped to the Europa League playoffs, they defeated AEK Larnaca 3-1 aggregate and won all of their 6 matches in Czech Republic, amassing a 14-1 goal difference in the process.

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Team news: FCSB is apparently fully healthy ahead of this match, while Plzen misses a number of players, but all of them are long term absentees. Krmencik is still suspended after being sent off in the previous meeting against FCSB. The visitors have actually got a couple of guys back recently.

When these two teams met less than 2 months ago, the match in Bucharest was dead even and finished in a 2-2 draw, but FCSB was much sharper in the reverse leg and won 4-1. This has actually been a common occurrence for Plzen against Romanian opponents recently.

The visitors met Romanian opposition three times in the last 4 years (Petrolul 2014, Astra 2016, FCSB 2017) and each time they drew in Romania, only to lose at home. Surely Plzen will hope for better this time around.

Viktoria Plzen is the slightly better team here, but they were supposed to be the better team 6 weeks ago as well, and it proved not to be the case. However, they will feel they will be more ready here, as they weren`t quite fully match fit back then – FCSB having more matches under their belt at that time. Czech teams traditionally suffer in August and start doing better from September onwards in Europe.

All in all, this seems to be an evenly matched clash. FCSB is playing too poorly in order to expect them to win, but they should still have enough to snatch a draw at home against a good but not great Plzen side.

When you add the fact that a draw would work pretty well for both teams in this Group opener, it makes sense to back such a result. However, a Plzen win can not be ruled out, and looking at the odds, it might make more sense to back the X2 as opposed to the draw. I feel the current price at around 1.80 for Plzen not to lose is solid. It`s a higher risk in terms of the investment, but definitely bigger chances to win.

My tip here is Plzen to cover the +0,5 handicap, but a draw with lower stakes is as good of a recommendation I guess, so it depends on what you want from this game. Prediction: FCSB – Viktoria Plzen 1-1.

Pick: Plzen +0,5
Odds: 1.85 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.80
Event date: 14 September

About Rostick

Former bookie & water polo player. Rugby Union expert. - EDITOR INFO & STATS
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2 Responses

  1. Jeez 4 1 and now 3 0. I mean fcsb is not playing a great football and they destroyed this gardbage plzen. And about that podcast wtf was that???

    • Nobody could have seen that coming (talking about the podcast). I knew Slovenia was good, but not THIS good. Although what can you do when Spain is 7/27 from three and Slovenia is 14/25. Anyway, I`d be shocked if Slovenia doesn`t win it all.
      As for the football, didn`t watch the game, but I see Plzen hit the post at 0-0 and next minute FCSB got a completely bogus penalty. That may have made the match, but to be honest I can`t blame anyone but myself at this scoreline.

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