Gabon – Eq Guinea

Gabon Equatorial Guinea betting previewGabon hosts Equatorial Guinea in the last round of the African Cup of Nations Group A. Ahead of the last matches, Congo has 4 points, Gabon 3 points, Equatorial Guinea 2 points and Burkina Faso 1 point. The qualification mathematics are very simple … Gabon needs a draw to qualify, Equatorial Guinea needs a win. Gabon can also finish first with a win if Congo fails to beat Burkina Faso.

I was very surprised that Gabon lost 1-0 to Congo last round after playing superb football to beat Burkina Faso 2-0 … but Congo played a great match and Gabon deserved at least a draw … so I am not concerned about Gabon’s level of football, it was an unlucky defeat.

Gabon are one of my favorites to win this tournament, they have the perfect team to succeed … good players from Europe, excellent tactical organization, great defense and a star in Aubameyang to make the difference. The Borussia Dortmund striker said that he was very disappointed with his performance vs. Congo … so expect him to come out guns blazing in this one.

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Equatorial Guinea were invited to participate in this tournament as hosts after Morocco refused to organize the competition … the expectations were not very high, but Equatorial Guinea surprised people with two draws so far, playing decent football and now having a chance to qualify with a win. But it has to be said that Equatorial Guinea was a little lucky both vs. Gabon and vs. Burkina Faso … opponents had more chances and probably deserved to win. The main player for the hosts is Nsue from Middlesbrough, not much else to brag about in the roster.

Equatorial Guinea managed to get good results with good defensive organization and a little luck, but now they need to win against the best team in the group … I think it will be the other way around and Gabon will get the three points. It is true that the visitors will qualify with a draw, but they are so much better than Equatorial Guinea, they are in good form and it is very unlikely they can be upset two times in a row … in my opinion they are the type of team that can generally be trusted in this competition (not only talent, but good coaching and tactics). I think Gabon will not miss the chance to go for the win and hope for qualification from the first place … also very important is that the hosts will need to attack at some point, so that will leave some spaces for one of the best counterattacking teams in Africa.

My tip will be Gabon to win with -0,25 asian handicap, meaning we get half the stakes back in case of a draw. I would go with 7 units on the straight win but with 9 units on this handicap. Correct score prediction: Gabon – Equatorial Guinea 1-0.

Pick: Gabon (-0,25 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.81 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 7.29
Event date: 25 January

About Ocean

Romania – former junior football player. Football specialist. - EDITOR INFO & STATS

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