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Gaz Metan – Dinamo Buc

Mattia Montini Dinamo Bucharest

Gaz Metan Medias will host Dinamo Bucharest on Sunday, in the second round of the Romanian Liga 1 relegation group.

Gaz Metan had a very good start of the season, but their form slowly dipped as the rounds went by. The hosts also lost their manager and their two top scorers. As a result, they ended the regular season two weeks ago on a run of 11 consecutive matches without a win (and on the 11th place – overall, a normal position for their expectations). Gaz Metan finally got a win last weekend in the first match of the relegation group, but their 2-0 road win at Hermannstadt was circumstantial – as the opponents played 50 minutes with 10 men, and 10 minutes with 9 men.

Dinamo Bucharest had a miserable season for their standards, arguably the worst in their entire history. Dinamo started the campaign very poorly and was not able to recover in time to make a serious playoff push. Fortunately for Dinamo, they managed to bring in a top manager at the end of last year, in the form of Mircea Rednic, and things are looking up. With Rednic in charge and with a large number of interesting signings, Dinamo has a statline of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 2019 – including wins in their last two matches.

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Team news & lineups:

Micael and Trif are out for Gaz Metan, while Dinamo is reported to have a clean bill of health.

Gaz Metan Medias: Plesca – Cretu, Larie, Constantin, Busu – Fofana, Luis Aurelio – Olaru, Chamed, Caiado – Rondon

Dinamo Bucharest: Mandanda – Sorescu, Klimavicius, Grigore, Aliji – Filip, Ait-Atmane – Zenke, Nistor, Jaadi – Montini

Dinamo is the big favorite to win the relegation group, just like they did last year, when they also missed the playoffs and had 11 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the playout stage – dominating it convincingly.

The visitors are no world beaters, but they definitely have superior talent to Gaz Metan, and they are also in (much) better form right now. So in these circumstances they look like good value to get a result here.

Medias has been rather poor the entire 2019, and had 11 consecutive games without a win until last weekend. That victory was welcome, but it can`t really be considered much of a good sign – given that Medias got lucky to score an early goal, and then the opponent had players sent off.

I don`t think Gaz Metan should be considered a favorite here, there really is no reason for it, even with home court advantage. They are struggling to win games, and Dinamo is a hard team to beat at the moment under manager Mircea Rednic. You would especially not expect them to be beaten by this caliber of opposition.

All in all, my tip on this clash will be Dinamo Bucuresti to cover the +0,5 handicap. Prediction: Gaz Metan Medias – Dinamo Bucharest 0-1.

Pick: Dinamo +0,5
Odds: 1.57 @ Unibet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 5.13
Event date: 17 March

About Rostick

Former bookie & water polo player. Rugby Union expert. - EDITOR INFO & STATS
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