Muller – Cilic

Gilles Muller Marin Cilic betting preview

Two big servers in the form of Gilles Muller and Marin Cilic will square off in the second round of the indoor hard event held in Rotterdam.

Gilles Muller defeated Andreas Seppi 4-6 7-6 6-4 in the first round, conceding just 4 break points and getting broken just twice – pretty good numbers considering that it was a very long match against a very good returner. Last week Gilles Muller reached the semifinals at the new ATP event in Sofia, losing 0-2 to Roberto Bautista Agut, so he is definitely in some pretty good form right now.

Marin Cilic is struggling to get back close to that Grand Slam Winning form he showed 1-2 years ago, but he’s not able to do it. He lost in the Australian Open 3rd round to Bautista Agut and he lost in the first round last week in Montpellier, 0-2 to Alexander Zverev. Here in Rotterdam Cilic defeated Istomin 7-6 6-4, putting in some incredible serving stats – 90% first serve points won and not a single break point offered to Istomin.

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The two players never met before on tour. It’s difficult to say that any of them holds a matchup advantage, both play in a similar style, big servers and big forehands. Cilic is obviously the more versatile and complete player, but Muller has his own weapons.

Both guys can serve lights out (Muller has one of the best serves on the tour) and on this fast surface they are very difficult to break, as the stats in their first round matches suggest. The fact that they never met before also suggests that it will take longer than usual for them to start reading eachother’s serves.

I believe a first set tiebreak has very good chances to happen, maybe even higher than 50%, so picking this bet at a price of 2.65 @ Bwin is definitely worth it.

I also believe that Gilles Muller has a serious shot at winning this match, it could really go either way so the odds on him (~2.70) are excellent as well. But my tip is a first set tiebreak to occur. Look for some fast paced tennis with a lot of unreturnable serves and quick service games. Prediction: Gilles Muller – Marin Cilic 6-7 7-6 4-6.

Pick: First set tiebreak – Yes
Odds: 2.65 @ Bwin
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 11.55
Event date: 10 February

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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