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Warriors – Rockets

Warriors Rockets Game 4 handicapping

The Golden State Warriors will host the Houston Rockets on Tuesday night in Game 4 of the Western Conference finals, with the Warriors currently leading 2-1 and attempting to take a commanding lead before going back to Houston.

Golden State completely demolished the Rockets in Game 3 on Sunday, winning by 41 points in their 16th straight playoff victory at home – a new NBA record. The Warriors initially won Game 1 in Houston before losing by 20+ points in Game 2, and there was a feeling around the league that Houston had a good shot in Game 3 on Sunday. However, that was not the case, and the Dubs cruised to victory with the help of a 35 point performance by Steph Curry.

The Rockets now find themselves in a must win situation, as they definitely can`t afford to go down 3-1 against a team like the Warriors. The series would be virtually over, so Houston is expected to come out with a lot of intensity tonight. That might not be enough though, as Golden State has proven to simply be a better team (no surprise here), and also proved able to force the Rockets into playing out of character, defending the 3 point line and forcing a lot of ISO plays from Harden.

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Team news: The big news ahead of this game is that Iguodala is doubtful for the Warriors, and right now his chances to play seem to be around 50%. Otherwise, both teams are healthy.

Golden State’s 41 point win in Game 3 was largely facilitated by a big night from Steph Curry, who had 35 points, including 18 in the third quarter.

Curry was struggling a bit before erupting in Game 3. He was effective in the series opener but had just 18 points, while in Game 2 he scored 16 and played poorly overall.

He also started Game 3 very tentatively, being 3-11 from the field at half time. At that point he was also 3-20 from three point line overall in the series. However, he went bananas in the third quarter. At one point he made 8 consecutive shots and finished with 35 points on 23 shots.

Game 3 was a coming back party for Curry and he wasn`t shy in letting his emotions show. With his shooting touch back, he will be a scary prospect for Houston to try and contain in Game 4 at Oracle Arena – where Steph is always big time in the playoffs.

The Warriors will need Curry to be on his A game in a huge game like this one, their offense will run through him early and he will definitely put up a pretty high number of shots – especially with his confidence being sky high after Sunday`s game.

The points total for Curry is set at 25.5 points at most bookies, which seems to be a bit on the low side, probably because of his earlier struggles in the series. Look for Curry to score around 30 here, so my tip will be Steph to surpass the 25.5 points line. Prediction: Golden State Warriors – Houston Rockets 122 – 112.

Pick: Curry over 25.5 points
Odds: 1.85 @ Unibet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.80
Event date: 23 May

About Rostick

Former bookie & water polo player. Rugby Union expert. - EDITOR INFO & STATS
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