Dimitrov – Sock

Dimitrov Sock betting previewGrigor Dimitrov and Jack Sock will square off in a match that surely is one of the most interesting to be played in the Roland Garros first round.

Dimitrov has been rather mediocre this season, including on clay – despite reaching the quarterfinals in both Monte Carlo and Madrid. Those performances were facilitated by the poor form of Wawrinka, the player who Dimitrov defeated to get in both those quarterfinals (and the only top 25 player Grigor defeated all season). Dimitrov hasn`t been able to improve his game in 2015, looks prone to errors and too passive at times and he won`t enter Roland Garros in the best of spirits, as the last set he played was a 0-6 bagel at the hands of Fognini in Rome.

Sock started the clay court season with an excellent performance in Houston, winning the tournament, but of course it was always to be tougher for him on the European clay. The american won just one out of 4 matches played since Houston and is on the back of a three set defeat to Lajovic in Nice. Nevertheless, Sock is having a great season so far and the faster clay at Roland Garros could help him put on a better performance than in Nice or Rome. We saw him play better on fast clay both in Houston (won title) and in Madrid (def. Andujar, lost to Tsonga in 3rd set tiebreak).

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Dimitrov leads the Head 2 Head 1-0, a three set win last season in Stockholm on indoor hard. He`s obviously a better player than Sock on clay, a surface which suits the Bulgarian much better – though Sock is not a non factor on the red dirt either.

Dimitrov should end up winning this, even in mediocre form he`s playing better tennis than Sock, particularly on clay – but he could very well have serious problems against the American. Grigor is not in his best shape and it`s very unlikely that he can keep a high level consistently in a three out of five match. Sock is having a good season and on a faster clay here in Paris he will be able to use his forehand and serve more effectively than in other clay court tournaments. If Dimitrov does not show up we could even be in for an upset, but even a good game from Grigor might not be enough to cover the large game handicap set by the bookies.

Grigor will have a hard task breaking Sock more than once per set. A tiebreak is likely and Sock might very well snatch a set himself when Dimitrov lowers his level of tennis – which seems inevitably. Taking all these into account, my tip is Sock to cover the 6 game handicap. Prediction: Grigor Dimitrov – Jack Sock 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-6.

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Pick: Sock +6 game handicap
Odds: 1.67 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.36
Event date: 26 May

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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