Munar – Auger Aliassime

Munar Auger Aliassime betting tips

Jaume Munar and Felix Auger-Aliassime will meet on Friday in the quarterfinals at the ATP 500 event in Rio de Janeiro, played on red clay.

Munar reached the quarterfinals in all three of the clay court tournaments he played this year. He was knocked out in this stage by Delbonis and Pella in the last couple of weeks, but had some good wins against guys like Cecchinato, Fognini or Delbonis (all in three sets). This week in Rio, Munar defeated Leo Mayer and Norrie, but had to work hard for both wins – especially against Norrie on Wednesday (7-6 5-7 7-6).

The 18 year old Auger-Aliassime is one of the best prospects in men`s tennis right now, and he is having a very good week here in Rio. The young Canadian played some excellent tennis over the past few days, getting past two very difficult opponents (Fognini and Garin) without losing a set. Auger-Aliassime is now guaranteed to break the Top 100 for the first time in his career, and will be pumped up ahead of this clash with Munar.

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Munar leads the H2H 2-0, both wins coming on clay last year. Both guys are clay court experts, so the surface will not have an impact in this match.

Munar has been in good form during this South American clay court season, but nothing special, and this week he had his fair share of troubles – struggling against an out of form Leo Mayer and against Norrie. The match against Norrie was a coin toss and it could have definitely gone either way.

The talented Auger-Aliassime has played better and more consistent tennis this week, really coming into his own. He was spectacular and ruthless against really solid opponents. Sure, Fognini had some brain dead moments in classic Fognini style, but Auger-Aliassime did everything well and was at a high level. Garin in the second round was in good form, playing great, and Auger-Aliassime was still able to win in straight sets. Both wins were very solid from the young Canadian.

Based on what these players showed this week Munar shouldn`t be a favorite. Auger-Aliassime is playing very good tennis right now, talent wise he is at least as good as Munar, and the negative H2H (0-2) isn`t relevant enough to suggest a matchup disadvantage for the Canadian. In these conditions, you have to feel value is on him. It`s not a shock that odds on him are dropping fast.

My tip will be Auger-Aliassime to win, if he is able to handle the big occasion he will probably have the first chance in this match. I trust my analysis enough to go with reasonably high stakes of 8 units on this bet. Prediction: Jaume Munar – Felix Auger Aliassime 6-4 2-6 4-6.

Pick: Auger-Aliassime
Odds: 2.38 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 11.04
Event date: 22 February

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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