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Leeds United will host Derby County in what looks to be a very evenly matched clash, at least on paper, in the English Championship.
Leeds is playing some great football at the moment, recording 5 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches in all competitions. They are hands down one of the most in form teams in the Championship and as a result the hosts climbed up to the 5th place in the standings, looking like a legit promotion contender. Leeds has a 8-2-3 record at home, where they conceded only 9 goals in 13 matches.
Derby County fell out off the playoff picture after losing 3-0 against Norwich in the last round. The visitors won just once in their last 4 Championship matches, but on the bright side they recorded an impressive 2-1 FA Cup road win against Premier League side West Brom last weekend. Derby won just 5 road games out of 12 in the Championship this season and has a negative goal difference away from home.
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Leeds will be without Jansson and Taylow, while Sacko and Cooper are doubtful. Derby continues to strugle with injuries and suspensions – they will miss Butterfield, Thorne, Wilson, Christie, Forsyth, Olsson, Lowe and Blackman, while Anya is a doubt.
Leeds United: Green – Coyle, Bartley, Ayling, Berardi – Hernandez, Bridcutt – Sacko, Roofe, Doukara – Wood
Derby County: Carson – Baird, Keogh, Pearce, Hanson – Hughes, Johnson, Bryson – Russell, Bent, Ince
Looking at the impressive form of Leeds and the injury list of Derby County, the hosts should get at least a draw here to extend their unbeaten streak, but they certainly have it in them to claim their 6th victory in 7 games. The fact that Derby County is not so good away from home comes to increase the chances for a home win.
A draw definitely can`t be ruled out, but looking at the circumstances and at the way Leeds is playing, I believe a bet on the home win makes sense. Derby with their injuries does not look likely to win this game and they will probably not look for more than a draw.
All things considered, my tip on this clash is Leeds to win with a +0 asian handicap (draw no bet). Prediction: Leeds United – Derby County 1-0.
Pick: Leeds (+0 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.82 @ Sbobet
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 5.74
Event date: 13 January
