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Big match in Serie A for Napoli and Parma, both trying to get out of a bad span of results.
Napoli come after a disappointing performance, losing 2-0 vs AC Milan, away from home. Napoli has many ups and downs. The best team from the south of Italy still does not know how to defend. They manage to score goals very easily, but have a hard time defending. At home, Napoli have just 1 clean sheet from 7 games so far, the #2 worst record. Napoli at home do not have a very good record but i expect them to improve because at least now they do not have the added pressure of playing in the Europa League and focus fully on the domestic championship.
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Parma are a complete mess. The owner wants to sell the team, many important players are not available (Biabiany-heart problems), Amauri (left to Torino), Marco Parolo (left to Lazio). Cassano and Roberto Donadoni are the only big names still associated to this club at the moment. It all started after the Italian Federation denied them the right to participate in the Europa League because of an unpaid debt, and a very small one. The owner of Parma went crazy, was very upset and disappointed and said he will give up investing in football. A few months later the result is visible with Parma rock bottom with some horrible results and just 6 points after 15 games (6 points from a possible of 45).
Parma will only get worse as time passes by and i expect Napoli to have no mercy today. I will bet on Napoli -1.5 handicap and stake my usual 8 units on this prediction. Odds are much better than normal because of Napoli’s recent poor results.
Pick: Napoli (-1,5 handicap)
Odds: 1.94 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.52
Event date: 18 December
