Qarabag – Sheriff

Qarabag Sheriff Tiraspol betting preview

Qarabag and Sheriff Tiraspol will meet in the Champions League qualifiers, with the Azerbaijan Champions rated as 1.60 odds favorites by the bookies to win the first leg at home.

Qarabag have affirmed themselves as the leading force in Azeri football over the last few years, but also as a regular presence in the group stages of European competitions. The hosts haven`t started the domestic season yet, but they have match practice after routing Georgian champions Samtredia in the previous UCL qualifying round – winning 5-0 at home and 1-0 away.

Sheriff won the title in Moldova last season due to H2H results against Dacia, and the visitors didn`t have a great start to their 2017 / 2018 campaign. Sheriff has 1 win and 2 draws in 3 domestic matches so far, and was extremely fortunate to advance in the Champions League qualifiers against Albanian Champions Kukesi. Sheriff won the first leg at home 1-0, but was trailing 1-2 away from home when Kukesi missed a penalty in the 81st minute. Eventually Sheriff advanced via away goals.

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Qarabag had a great season last year, winning the title by a large margin, winning the domestic Cup and claiming 7 points in an Europa League group with Fiorentina, Slovan Liberec and PAOK Salonic – also destroying Goteborg and losing via away goals to Plzen in the EL / UCL qualifiers.

Much of the same success is expected this season, as Karabakh is a club with money and stability, while the squad is mostly the same as last season.

There`s no doubt about the fact that Qarabag is the stronger side, and they also played much better football than Sheriff in this start of the season. Considering Qarabag’s strength at home, and the fact that Sheriff is visibly struggling in the start of this season, chances for an upset do not seem to be very high.

Qarabag lost just twice at home since the end of 2015, in all competitions (!!), with many good European sides like PAOK Salonic, Anderlecht, Goteborg or Young Boys leaving Azerbaidjan defeated. All things being considered, Karabakh should have too much power at home for Sheriff.

My tip here is Qarabag to win the match, and it`s worth noting that odds are currently dropping on this bet. I reckon 8 units is a proper stake for this pick, which is a pretty straightforward choice in my eyes. Prediction: Qarabag – Sheriff Tiraspol 2-0.

Pick: Qarabag
Odds: 1.60 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 4.80
Event date: 25 July

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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