St Pauli – Hertha

st pauli ultras mask

St Pauli hosts Hertha Berlin in the DFB Pokal second round, with the visiting side being the clear cut favorite to advance in this one legged tie.

The hosts are having a horrible start to the season, sitting on the last place in Zweite Bundesliga with just 5 points in 10 matches. St Pauli has now lost 4 consecutive matches (3 of them by a form of handicap), including 0-3 against Sandhausen over the weekend.

Hertha narrowly missed on a Champions League spot last year after an abysmal run of poor form to end the season, but the team bounced back in style at the start of this campaign. Hertha is playing lights out right now, sitting on the 3rd place in Bundesliga with 5 wins, 2 draws and just one loss (at Bayern) in 8 matches.

Bet on St Pauli vs. Hertha and claim your 100% (100 Euro) freebet at Ohmbet now!

Team news: St Pauli will miss top scorer Bouhaddouz, while Hertha will miss Langkamp, Brooks and Schieber. Hertha is expected to field a stronger lineup than in the last round, when they needed penalties to defeat Regensburg. There will probably be some rotation in the team, but the visitors will almost surely field a strong lineup.

Cup games can sometimes be dangerous, but that usually happens when the lower rated team is in good form and has good morale, which triggers self confidence. That is obviously not the case now, with St Pauli playing horrible football at the moment, while Hertha is flying high.

The hosts have a top fanbase and are usually strong at home, but even home court advantage has not been enough this season, with St Pauli losing 2 out of 4 matches at Millerntor Stadion against much weaker opposition than Hertha Berlin. With all of St Pauli’s problems in 2.Bundesliga, I doubt they truly believe they can take on Hertha and a loss would be far from a tragedy – the league is much more important than the German Cup right now.

Obviously the league is more important for Hertha as well, but they are not the team which needs to surpass its limits and work harder than usual. That is St Pauli and I don’t think they have the capability or willingness to do that in the current circumstances.

I don’t expect a trashing, maybe not even a handicap win for Hertha, but the visitors should have too much for St Pauli team. Not only are the much better team, but they are in much better form and their morale is completely superior to St Pauli’s. My tip is Hertha to win. Prediction: St Pauli – Hertha Berlin 0-2.

Pick: Hertha
Odds: 1.85 @ Doxxbet
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 5.95
Event date: 25 October

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *