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Fury – Wallin

Tyson Fury Otto Wallin boxing betting preview

Tyson Fury and Otto Wallin will square off in a Heavyweight bout on Saturday night at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. While there are no official belts at stake, Fury’s unofficial Lineal Heavyweight title is on the line.

Fury will be looking for a routine win before a potential big money rematch with Deontay Wilder, while Wallin will hope to spring a shock upset to get his name in the mix at the top of the Heavyweight division.

The undefeated Tyson Fury (28-0-1, 20 KO) truly had a comeback to write about. He fell into deep depression after defeating Wladimir Klitschko back in 2015, took up drugs, gained 60 kgs in weight, and contemplated suicide. After almost three years of struggle he made a comeback in 2018, and looked brilliant. Fury is 3-0-1 since the comeback, his most impressive showing being of course the clash with the big punching WBC champion Deontay Wilder last December. Fury went to the US and outboxed Wilder in a magnificent fight, but he was robbed of the decision, with the judges scoring it a draw. Next up he faced Tom Schwarz in June, scoring an easy second round knockout.

Otto Wallin (20-0-0, 13 KO) is a Swedish heavyweight who will get his big break on Saturday night against Fury. Despite his undefeated record, Wallin is only rated as the #46th heavyweight by BoxRec, and that is probably a fair estimation of his abilities. Wallin hasn`t really fought anybody of note, and certainly no one even remotely close to Fury’s caliber. If we`re being blunt, fact is he pretty much only fought bums. Wallin’s last fight was in April this year, but it was ruled a no-contest after an accidental first round headbutt. As such, Wallin didn’t quite have a real fight in the last one and a half years!

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Fury stands at 206cm tall with a reach of 216cm. Wallin stands at 197cm tall with a reach of 198cm. With Fury being heavier, taller and longer, it`s hard to see how he could be bothered here, given that he is obviously a lot more skilled than Wallin. Wallin`s only edge in this department seems to be the fact that he`s a southpaw.

Fury is the purest, smartest and most skilled boxer among the heavyweights, his tactics are the best out there, so surely you would expect him to control the fight easily against a shorter opponent with shorter reach. Fury should easily keep Wallin at distance, work with his jab, and then get inside when he will have the opportunity. In terms of matchup, it seems Fury could have hardly chosen a more favorable opponent.

Fact is that this is no more than a warm up fight for the British champion. After Fury signed a contract with ESPN and Top Rank at the start of this year, he was given two no risk fights (vs Schwarz and vs Wallin) in order to build up his name on the US market, without any danger of taking a loss which would ruin the expected rematch against Deontay Wilder.

Fury made light work of Schwartz a few months ago with a second round knockout, he toyed with the German, and this could well be a similar outcome against a relatively similar caliber of fighter. Wallin, a pretty decent technical fighter, should be better than Schwarz – but not by that much.

Fury is not the biggest puncher among heavyweights, but he can easily knock out weaker opposition, as we can see from his 20 knockouts in 29 fights. Fury is desperate to make himself a big name in the USA and wanted to put on the best possible show in these two tune up fights against Schwarz and Wallin. He will want to have some exchanges with Wallin for a couple of rounds, put some of his antics on display, and then go for the spectacular knockout. A points win would really be a failure for Fury, he would lose a lot of revenue from his future US fights if he fails to impress and doesn`t knock Wallin out.

The under / over line stands at 7.5 rounds. Surely this sounds to be a bit generous towards Wallin, it`s hard to believe he can resist for more than 5-6 rounds against an in form Fury, who is also specifically looking for the KO, not just the win. My tip will be under 7,5 rounds to be played in this fight and I expect Fury to get the KO in the first 4-5 rounds.

Pick: under 7,5 rounds
Odds: 1.91 @ Unibet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 8.19
Event date: 14 September

About Rostick

Former bookie & water polo player. Rugby Union expert. - EDITOR INFO & STATS
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