Williams – Chirico

Venus Williams Louisa Chirico Roland Garros tips

Venus Williams and Louisa Chirico are set to play one of the last matches of the day on Wednesday at Roland Garros, with the American legend a 1.65 odds favorite to defeat the up and coming Chirico.

Williams is on the back of a 7-6 7-6 win over Anett Kontaveit, a rather modest performance from the 11th ranked American. It was just the third match of the year on red clay for Williams, who split the other two (won vs. Vandeweghe, lost vs. Babos). Aside from winning the Kaohsiung tournament in early February, Venus was very poor this year, losing 6 of 9 matches and failing to pass the second round at any tournament. She`s not expected to improve much on clay, her worst surface.

Louisa Chirico had a breakout tournament a couple of weeks ago in Madrid, where he reached the semifinals after some brilliant wins against the likes of Ivanovic or Gavrilova, eventually losing to Cibulkova. She was hitting the ball early and hard, looking for offense and being overall very impressive. Chirico was in good form prior to Madrid as well and she already has 4 wins in the last week here in Paris, passing qualifications and defeating Laura Davis 2-1 in the first round – albeit Chirico did not play at her best and barely won the deciding set 8-6.

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This will be the first meeting between Williams and Chirico, with the young Louisa being favored by the surface – she loves clay, why Williams plays her worst tennis on the red dirt. It will be a contrast of styles, with Chirico a big hitting aggressor and Williams a baseline defender, though she can become the aggressor as well and play at the net if she chooses.

Neither player looked great in the first round, but at least Chirico has room for improvement, while from Venus we know that she won`t get any better, particularly on clay. The young American also has the age advantage, she played better on the red dirt in the European season and she is an excellent clay court player, while for Venus this is the worst surface. Chirico also is in better rhythm after playing qualifiers.

Look for Chirico to put Williams under pressure with her big shots and it remains to be seen if old Venus will be able to cover the court for long enough to force errors from her opponent.

This looks like a 50-50 match which will be decided by Chirico’s number of unforced errors. Williams will win if her opponent start blowing errors all over the place, but looking at Chirico two weeks ago in Madrid, she definitely doesn`t seem one to get tight just because she`s meeting a top player or a legend.

I would not be surprised if young Chirico wins this, I would actually make her a small favorite and I will back her to pull off the upset, with low – medium stakes. My tip is Chirico to win. Odds are dropping on the bet. Prediction: Venus Williams – Louisa Chirico 5-7 6-3 1-6.

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Pick: Chirico
Odds: 2.43 @ Unibet
Stake: 5
Possible profit: 7.15
Event date: 26 May

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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