Villarreal – Levante

Villarreal hosts Levante in the 20th round of the Spanish Primera Division.

Villarreal won 1-0 vs. Getafe midweek in the Copa del Rey, a result that mate it 6 consecutive wins for Villarreal at home … all of them coming with a clean sheet! The defensive setup of Villarreal has been brilliant lately and they will be confident of putting together another strong performance at the back, against a team that is not exactly known for its offensive power. The hosts will be able to field a very strong lineup today, only Jokic and Cheryshev will miss the game tonight … not a big handicap for Villarreal.

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Levante is in a bad situation at the moment … they are still hurting after selling some of their best players last summer and relegation is a real possibility … second to last place, 16pts in 19 matches, 13 goals scored (second worst in Primera). Levante’s form is as bad as their standings with only 1 win in the last 11 matches and that was in the cup vs. Malaga. Last weekend Levante lost 1-0 at Elche, barely threatening the opposing goal. Navarro, Simao and Pape Diop will not take part in Levante’s lineup today due to injuries and traveling to the African Cup of Nations.

Villarreal really should win this game comfortably, there is not a single argument to suggest that Levante can pull off an upset. Still, I am not sold on the handicap because Levante can defend at a decent level and Villarreal is not that good in scoring. The bet to take in my opinion is Villarreal to win to nil and that will be my tip. I am confident that Villarreal will extend the run of 6 wins to nil at home … they will patiently hold the ball, playing possession football, while Levante will sit deep, crowding the box and putting very little danger on counterattacks, as usual. The bet is pretty simple and it should be a winner as well. Correct score prediction: Villarreal – Levante 2-0.

Pick: Villarreal to win to nil
Odds: 1.85 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.8
Event date: 24 January