This is a must win match for both players, both have lost their opening match in straight sets and today they have a chance to keep hoping of reaching the next round in the World Tour Finals in London. The number 3 Stan Wawrinka lost 6-2 6-3 in his match against Nishikori on Monday, winning just 62% of his 1st service points and only 38% of his 2nd service points he had no chance against Nishikori who was dominating most rallies. The Swiss did not create a single break point all match and had return percentages of just 20% on first serve and 22% on second serve, seeing those stats makes me feel Wawrinka might have another bad day ahead of him.
Marin Cilic was not at his best against Andy Murray two days ago, he only had a 1st service percentage of 51% and won 65% of those points played. Looking at the break chances of both players that match we can see that Murray and Cilic both faces the same amount of break chances created by their opponent on serve, the only difference was that that Murray converted 4 out of his 5 chances while Cilic converted only once out of his five chances created. Comparing Wawrinka and Cilic you would probably want to go for Cilic as he seems to be much more dangerous on his return and also is the better server. Im going with a +2.5 game handicap for Cilic just in case this one would end in a 7-6 7-6 win for the Swiss, but to be honest I dont think it will be that close today.
Pick: Cilic +2.5
Odds: 1.45
Bookmaker: βΎ 1xBet
Stake: 8 units
Tipster: BigRedHorse
TIPSTER: BigRedHorse | Total profit: -41.87 | Tips won: 20 |
Country: Netherlands | Total yield: -13.91% | Tips lost: 15 |
Speciality: Football | Total picks: 38 | Tips pushed: 3 |
25.11 | β’ GFC Ajaccio v Sochaux | 1.3 | 8 | β | -8 |
25.11 | β’ Niort v AC Ajaccio | 1.32 | 8 | β | +2.56 |
25.11 | β’ Club Brugge v KV Mechelen | 1.35 | 8 | β | -8 |
24.11 | β’ Shakthar v Konyaspor | 1.36 | 8 | β | -8 |
24.11 | β’ Ajax v Panathinaikos | 1.36 | 8 | β | -4 |
24.11 | β’ Schalke v Nice | 1.3 | 8 | β | -8 |
24.11 | β’ Astana v APOEL | 1.32 | 10 | β | +3.2 |
24.11 | β’ Gabala v Anderlecht | 1.43 | 8 | β | -8 |
20.11 | β’ Ajax - NEC Nijmegen | 1.62 | 8 | β | -8 |
20.11 | β’ Zulte Waregem v Anderlecht | 1.57 | 8 | β | +4.56 |