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Novak Djokovic will face Gael Monfils in the last Group match, the Serb won his first 2 matches and is already assured of his first place while the Frenchman lost his first 2 matches and is already eliminated from the tournament. To me it looks like Djokovic will win this match but he will also will take it easy as he wants to save some energy for his semi final match, Monfils played really well in his last match against Thiem two days ago losing 1-2 but to me he was the better player.
Ofcourse the world number 2 is the big favorite to win here, but looking at the stats of the number 6 I would atleast think that it will take some effort to come away with the win here. Monfils was able to win 82% of his 1st serves against Thiem and he hit 8 aces that day, looking at the total points won that match we can see that both players won exactly the same amount of points (74-74). Djokovic faced 7 breakpoints in his 7-6 7-6 win over Milos Raonic and was only able to win 51% of the total points played (85-83), to me that shows the he is not able to dominate most games and will give opponents will be give a chance to stay close with him and thats why I will bet on Monfils with a +6.5 game handicap @1.40.
Pick: Monfils +6.5
Odds: 1.4
Bookmaker: βΎ Pinnacle
Stake: 8 units
Tipster: BigRedHorse
| TIPSTER: BigRedHorse | Total profit: -41.87 | Tips won: 20 |
| Country: Netherlands | Total yield: -13.91% | Tips lost: 15 |
| Speciality: Football | Total picks: 38 | Tips pushed: 3 |
| 25.11 | β’ GFC Ajaccio v Sochaux | 1.3 | 8 | β | -8 |
| 25.11 | β’ Niort v AC Ajaccio | 1.32 | 8 | β | +2.56 |
| 25.11 | β’ Club Brugge v KV Mechelen | 1.35 | 8 | β | -8 |
| 24.11 | β’ Shakthar v Konyaspor | 1.36 | 8 | β | -8 |
| 24.11 | β’ Ajax v Panathinaikos | 1.36 | 8 | β | -4 |
| 24.11 | β’ Schalke v Nice | 1.3 | 8 | β | -8 |
| 24.11 | β’ Astana v APOEL | 1.32 | 10 | β | +3.2 |
| 24.11 | β’ Gabala v Anderlecht | 1.43 | 8 | β | -8 |
| 20.11 | β’ Ajax - NEC Nijmegen | 1.62 | 8 | β | -8 |
| 20.11 | β’ Zulte Waregem v Anderlecht | 1.57 | 8 | β | +4.56 |
