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Thiem and Zverev will be squaring off for the ninth time in their careers, with Thiem holding a 6-2 lead in the head-to-head series. They have faced each other three times on hard courts and the Austrian pulled ahead 2-1 in those contests with a 7-5, 6-3 victory in the semis of the Nitto ATP Finals this past fall. Both of their previous Grand Slam encounters have come at Roland Garros, where Thiem took care of business on his preferred clay-court surface in 2016 and 2018.
Whereas Zverev surrendered only one set to Wawrinka, Thiem’s trip to the last four was much tougher. The fifth seed needed five sets to get past Alex Bolt in round two and his quarterfinal against Rafael Nadal on Wednesday was a 7-6(3), 7-6(4), 4-6, 7-6(6) thriller that lasted four hours and 10 minutes. Thiem also beat Adrian Mannarino, Taylor Fritz, and Gael Monfils. The 26-year-old will play in his fifth major semifinal (first outside of Roland Garros) and is bidding for a third final appearance.
Thiem knows what it takes to reach a major title match and his impressive hard-court form over the past 11 months should carry him to another win over Zverev.
Pick: 1
Odds: 1.51
Bookmaker: ➾ 1xBet
Stake: 10 units
Tipster: GospodinTipster
| TIPSTER: GospodinTipster | Total profit: -86.67 | Tips won: 124 |
| Country: Croatia | Total yield: -3.43% | Tips lost: 207 |
| Speciality: Football | Total picks: 339 | Tips pushed: 8 |
| 08.03 | • Osasuna - Espanyol | 3.2 | 10 | ❌ | -10 |
| 07.03 | • Eibar - Mallorca | 1.78 | 10 | ❌ | -10 |
| 07.03 | • Atletico Madrid - Sevilla | 2.01 | 10 | ❌ | -10 |
| 29.02 | • Lazio - Bologna | 1.57 | 4 | ✅ | +2.28 |
| 16.02 | • Udinese - Verona | 3.28 | 8 | ✅ | +18.24 |
| 15.02 | • Mallorca - Alaves | 2.51 | 8 | ✅ | +12.08 |
| 14.02 | • Wolves - Leicester | 2.74 | 10 | ❌ | -10 |
| 14.02 | • Valencia - Atl Madrid | 3.06 | 10 | ✅ | +20.6 |
| 12.02 | • Inter - Napoli | 3.54 | 8 | ❌ | -8 |
| 09.02 | • Spal - Sassuolo | 3.54 | 8 | ❌ | -8 |
