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The odds offered by william Hill for a first set tie break are great, at 2.85. I am sure that every same person that knows how to look at a H2H will see that 5 out of the last 7 matches played by this two (against each other) finished in a first set tie break- that means 71% of. Odds of 2.85 gives us a chance of 35%- that means we have a 36% value bet regarding this stats.
Sam Querrey won 88% of the service games in 2015 and broke only 15%, while Kevin won 87% of the service games and broke 19%. As we can see, both of them are great servers and poor returners. Both played a similar player recently, John Isner, and got in a first set tie break. I think that the match-up and the fact that the surface is faster than Indian Wells will be a big helper.
There not much else to say than it is a great value bet here.
Pick: 1st set: over 12.5 games
Odds: 2.85
Bookmaker: ➾ William Hill
Stake: 10 units
Tipster: Ardeal
| TIPSTER: Ardeal | Total profit: +273.66 | Tips won: 172 |
| Country: Romania | Total yield: +8.20% | Tips lost: 270 |
| Speciality: Tennis | Total picks: 463 | Tips pushed: 21 |
| 29.07 | • Ryan Sweeting v Mitchell Krueger | 1.36 | 8 | ✅ | +2.88 |
| 28.07 | • Sam Groth v Frances Tiafoe | 1.3 | 8 | ✅ | +2.4 |
| 24.07 | • Ivo Karlovic v Radek Stepanek | 1.35 | 8 | ✅ | +2.8 |
| 24.07 | • Pablo Cuevas v Steve Darcis | 1.35 | 8 | ✅ | +2.8 |
| 17.07 | • Dustin Brown v Ivo Karlovic | 1.36 | 9 | ✅ | +3.24 |
| 14.07 | • John Isner v Rajeev Ram | 3.3 | 10 | ✅ | +23 |
| 12.07 | • Novak Djokovic v Roger Federer | 2.05 | 9 | ❌ | -9 |
| 08.07 | • Stan Wawrinka v Richard Gaquet | 1.52 | 9 | ❌ | -9 |
| 06.07 | • Ivo Karlovic v Andy Murray | 2.23 | 9 | ✅ | +11.07 |
| 02.07 | • Dustin Brown v Rafael Nadal | 5 | 7 | ✅ | +28 |
