I will take a gamble on the following match because of the match-up. I know that this is a "short" bet in terms of time and I will take a medium stakes for it because of the things you cannot see.
COric and Haider Maurer played in 13.03 (two weeks ago) the same clash in similar conditions (Miami is a little faster- but not too much). Coric won 6-4 6-4 and the fact that both sets were decided in the beginning makes me think that this might be a winner.
Haider Maurer served first in the first set(saved 4 break points), Coric saved 2 break points in the second serve and Haider Maurer was broken to love in the 3 service games. Coric served it out to love (in the 4th).
Second set Anders HM served again first(won to 30), Coric won 2nd serve to 30 and Haider Maurer was again broken to love and Coric served it out to 30 (in the 4th).
We have two sets played two weeks ago and both of them would have been winners with this pick.
Haider Maurer won 78% of the service games and 21% of the return ones, while Coric won 75% of the service games and 22% of the return games.
I think that this is a long shot to take, but medium stakes would bring some great profit.
Pick: Score after 4 games: 3-1 Coric
Bookmaker: ➾ William Hill
Stake: 5 units
|TIPSTER: Ardeal||Total profit: +273.66||Tips won: 172|
|Country: Romania||Total yield: +8.20%||Tips lost: 270|
|Speciality: Tennis||Total picks: 463||Tips pushed: 21|
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|24.07||• Ivo Karlovic v Radek Stepanek||1.35||8||✅||+2.8|
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|08.07||• Stan Wawrinka v Richard Gaquet||1.52||9||❌||-9|
|06.07||• Ivo Karlovic v Andy Murray||2.23||9||✅||+11.07|
|02.07||• Dustin Brown v Rafael Nadal||5||7||✅||+28|