The odds offered by william Hill for a first set tie break are great, at 2.85. I am sure that every same person that knows how to look at a H2H will see that 5 out of the last 7 matches played by this two (against each other) finished in a first set tie break- that means 71% of. Odds of 2.85 gives us a chance of 35%- that means we have a 36% value bet regarding this stats.
Sam Querrey won 88% of the service games in 2015 and broke only 15%, while Kevin won 87% of the service games and broke 19%. As we can see, both of them are great servers and poor returners. Both played a similar player recently, John Isner, and got in a first set tie break. I think that the match-up and the fact that the surface is faster than Indian Wells will be a big helper.
There not much else to say than it is a great value bet here.
Pick: 1st set: over 12.5 games
Bookmaker: ➾ William Hill
Stake: 10 units
|TIPSTER: Ardeal||Total profit: +273.66||Tips won: 172|
|Country: Romania||Total yield: +8.20%||Tips lost: 270|
|Speciality: Tennis||Total picks: 463||Tips pushed: 21|
|29.07||• Ryan Sweeting v Mitchell Krueger||1.36||8||✅||+2.88|
|28.07||• Sam Groth v Frances Tiafoe||1.3||8||✅||+2.4|
|24.07||• Ivo Karlovic v Radek Stepanek||1.35||8||✅||+2.8|
|24.07||• Pablo Cuevas v Steve Darcis||1.35||8||✅||+2.8|
|17.07||• Dustin Brown v Ivo Karlovic||1.36||9||✅||+3.24|
|14.07||• John Isner v Rajeev Ram||3.3||10||✅||+23|
|12.07||• Novak Djokovic v Roger Federer||2.05||9||❌||-9|
|08.07||• Stan Wawrinka v Richard Gaquet||1.52||9||❌||-9|
|06.07||• Ivo Karlovic v Andy Murray||2.23||9||✅||+11.07|
|02.07||• Dustin Brown v Rafael Nadal||5||7||✅||+28|