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Detroit is very tough team to beat at home especially with Justin Verlander (8-6, 4.07 ERA) on mound. He has dominated the Royals throughout his career, limiting them to a 3.26 ERA and .645 OPS in 39 meetings. Justin’s ERA is a bit high than should be, but he had few very weak performances after injury but in last start allowed just 2 run in 5 2/3 innings against red-hot Blue Jays offense.
I said enough about the Tigers in previous previews. Let’s pay more attention to Royals.
Kansas play horribly away from home. Their 16-30 record is 3rd worst in majors.
Ian Kennedy (6-7, 3.97 ERA) is home run prone pitcher. But Kennedy has been more homer prone than ever, allowing 21 home runs in 99 2/3 innings this year (his career high is 31). Kennedy has surrendered at least one home run in seven straight starts – and 13 in all over that stretch. He has allowed a 47.9 percent fly ball rate this season, his highest of any full season in his career. While the elevated fly ball rate explains the home runs.
Maybe his ERA is just 3.97 in 17 starts this season but he is getting a bit lucky, stranding over 80 percent of baserunners -- league average for starting pitchers is around 72 percent.
Kennedy has a 5.14 ERA on the road this season, and the Tigers are hitting .281/.344/.460 home.
I expect easy win from Detroit. So higher handicaps are also playable.
Pick: Detroit (-1) AH
Odds: 2.03
Bookmaker: âž¾ Pinnacle
Stake: 10 units
Tipster: BettingOdyssey
| TIPSTER: BettingOdyssey | Total profit: +53.79 | Tips won: 16 |
| Country: Germany | Total yield: +22.41% | Tips lost: 11 |
| Speciality: Football | Total picks: 29 | Tips pushed: 2 |
| 04.05 | • Detroit - Kansas | 2.83 | 8 | ⌠| -8 |
| 16.10 | • Netherlands U21 - Ukraine U21 | 3 | 8 | ⌠| -8 |
| 13.10 | • Bohemain - Sutton | 2.19 | 7 | ➖ | 0.00 |
| 11.10 | • Iceland U21 vs N. Ireland U21 | 2.37 | 10 | ✅ | +13.7 |
| 06.10 | • Chesterfield - Fylde | 1.83 | 8 | ➖ | 0.00 |
| 02.10 | • Sunderland - Peterborough | 1.92 | 8 | ✅ | +7.36 |
| 02.03 | • New York Red Bulls vs Olimpia | 1.74 | 8 | ✅ | +5.92 |
| 02.03 | • Minnesota - Toronto | 2.34 | 8 | ⌠| -8 |
| 02.10 | • Atlanta - Detroit | 1.85 | 9 | ⌠| -9 |
| 04.08 | • Spartak - AEK Larnaka | 2.5 | 8 | ⌠| -8 |
