When these two teams met earlier in the season Adelaide held Sydney to just one goal as Sydney were 1-0 winners but since then Sydney's attack has been on fire. They have played six matches since that game and Sydney have scored three or more goals in five of those matches and in the other they scored two goals. They have the best attack in the league with 38 goals in 15 matches with 23 of those coming in the last six matches.
One of the keys for Sydney has been the form of Bobo and Mierzejewski. Bobo is now the league's leading goal scorer with 15 goals but he has really been producing since the last time these teams met. He has two hat tricks and nine goals since that match. Mierzejewski has also improved his goal tally in that time with six goals since that match to put him on eight goals for the season making him the joint third top goalscorer in the league.
Adelaide have been steady and average roughly a goal a game. In fact, they have scored in each of their six matches since they were kept out by Sydney. Their only two clean sheets in heir last seven matches have come against teams currently outside the play-off positions.
I think this bet rests entirely on how well Sydney play. They have been in great scoring form and they are against a team that does tend t get at least one goal. Sydney should be able to get at an Adelaide side that has a few players missing and given their form and particularly the form of Bobo and Mierzejewski then I can see there being goals in this match. With all that in mind, I can't turn down odds over 3.00 for over 3.5 goals for a Sydney team that has had eight of their 15 matches this season go over 3.5 goals.
Pick: Over 3.5 Goals
Bookmaker: ➾ William Hill
Stake: 8 units
|TIPSTER: O_Fortuna||Total profit: -22.59||Tips won: 74|
|Country: UK||Total yield: -1.39%||Tips lost: 133|
|Speciality: Football||Total picks: 211||Tips pushed: 4|
|27.10||• Southampton - Newcastle||2.2||8||❌||-8|
|06.03||• Argentinos Juniors - Boca Juniors||2.05||8||❌||-8|
|05.03||• Celta Vigo - Las Palmas||1.95||8||❌||-8|
|25.02||• Atletico Tucuman - Tigre||2.18||8||❌||-8|
|24.02||• Velez Sarsfield - River Plate||2.47||8||❌||-8|
|27.01||• Talleres - San Lorenzo||1.71||8||❌||-8|
|26.01||• Tigre - Banfield||1.75||8||✅||+6|
|25.01||• Independiente - Rosario Central||1.88||8||✅||+7.04|
|23.01||• Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin||2.76||8||✅||+14.08|
|14.01||• Adelaide - Sydney||3.25||8||❌||-8|