Celta Vigo are not in their greatest run of form but they still remain a threat to their opposition, especially at home. The threat consists largely of Aspas and Gomez who are responsible for 29 of their 43 goals.
Aspas has contributed 16 goals to that total of 29. He has scored those goals in 25 league appearances. Looking at that alone would give us odds of around 1.55-1.60 and there are bookmakers that go as low as 1.61 but many are around 1.85-1.95.
Celta are a much better home team and only twice in the league this season have they been held to no goals at home and one of those was against the mean Atletico Madrid defence.
They have scored two or more goals in their last four home matches and they will probably be expecting to do the same again against Las Palmas.
Las Palmas have the second worst defence in the league, conceding 53 goals in 26 matches. They have improved on that front in the last month as they held Barcelona to a 1-1 draw and stopped Athletic Bilbao and Leganes from scoring in away games.
Celta, however, are a good attacking team at home. In a game where they are 1.40 favourites to win and 1.44 to score over 1.5 goals I have to tip their top goalscorer to get a goal at odds close to 2.00.
Pick: Iago Aspas Anytime Goalscorer
Bookmaker: ➾ Ladbrokes
Stake: 8 units
|TIPSTER: O_Fortuna||Total profit: -22.59||Tips won: 74|
|Country: UK||Total yield: -1.39%||Tips lost: 133|
|Speciality: Football||Total picks: 211||Tips pushed: 4|
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|05.03||• Celta Vigo - Las Palmas||1.95||8||❌||-8|
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