Southampton have the second worst discipline record in the Premier League so far this season. They have 20 yellow cards and one red card in 9 matches which translates to an average of over 2 cards per game. Again they average more than 2 cards in home matches with 9 yellow cards and 1 red card in 4 home matches.
In this match they will be playing fellow strugglers this season, Newcastle, so I expect a tight somewhat nervy game with 3 points crucial for both teams even at this early stage. Neither team will want to give much away and Southampton will be more than happy to break up Newcastle attacks because they can be quite cynical at times which has led to their high number of cards this season.
The referee for this match is Chris Kavanagh who is averaging 3.17 yellow cards this season. He is not afraid to deal out the cards to the home team either. In his six Premier League games this season he has given the home team 2 cards in five of them. Given all of this I would expect to see over 1.5 cards for Southampton to be around evens. I would price this up around 1.90, so I'm happy to 2.20 that is on offer.
Pick: Southampton Over 1.5 Cards
Bookmaker: ➾ Bet2u
Stake: 8 units
|TIPSTER: O_Fortuna||Total profit: -22.59||Tips won: 74|
|Country: UK||Total yield: -1.39%||Tips lost: 133|
|Speciality: Football||Total picks: 211||Tips pushed: 4|
|27.10||• Southampton - Newcastle||2.2||8||❌||-8|
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|05.03||• Celta Vigo - Las Palmas||1.95||8||❌||-8|
|25.02||• Atletico Tucuman - Tigre||2.18||8||❌||-8|
|24.02||• Velez Sarsfield - River Plate||2.47||8||❌||-8|
|27.01||• Talleres - San Lorenzo||1.71||8||❌||-8|
|26.01||• Tigre - Banfield||1.75||8||✅||+6|
|25.01||• Independiente - Rosario Central||1.88||8||✅||+7.04|
|23.01||• Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin||2.76||8||✅||+14.08|
|14.01||• Adelaide - Sydney||3.25||8||❌||-8|