Zalgiris is in really poor offensive shape lately, if we take out their game against CSKA against whom they always play motivated they were under 70 points in 3 other games. I understand they were under 70pts against Fenerbahce but against Efes or Gran Canaria I can't find explanation but to conclude small crisis. Even in Lithuanian league against other Euro competitor Lietkabelis they had 140 pts game but after that they have collected 100 points against Siaulai in Cup game but Siaulai is at the moment worst team in Lithuanian league so I will not even take this into consideration while estimating this game.
On other hand is Panathinaikos, a home team which on road didn't reach 80 points this season and their new coach Pitino didn't change that, they simply can't play with continuity in offense at least in EuroLeague.
Zalgiris is probably aware of their shape and I am sure coach Jasikevicius will try to save the game through some defense which they do tend to play in most of their games at home.
All in all considering poor performances of these teams lately or on the road I see this game as really low scoring one and a one in which anyone could win with a bit of luck. I believe that Pao is somewhat more motivated with their coach and atm they are closer to play off spots and I wouldn't be surprised to see a game like they had in Podgorica against Budućnost, their only road win in a low scoring scenario.
I could see 72:75 result in this game.
P.S. My bookie doesn't count OT but if we consider there was OT between them in first leg, what are the chances for that to happen again? :)
Pick: Under 152.5
Bookmaker: ➾ Pinnacle
Stake: 6 units
|TIPSTER: Eastwood||Total profit: +113.25||Tips won: 57|
|Country: Croatia||Total yield: +17.37%||Tips lost: 33|
|Speciality: Basketball||Total picks: 92||Tips pushed: 2|
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|18.01||• Zalgiris - Panathinaikos||1.87||6||✅||+5.22|
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