Norway – Italy

Euro 2016 qualifiers Group H with Italy, Norway, Croatia, Bulgaria, Azerbaijan and Malta. Here Norway hosts Italy in the first match for the visitors under Antonio Conte.

Norway just can’t get back to the level they had a few years ago. The team has not too many quality players and is struggling in every qualifications. In the last 12 official matches Norway has only 1 win (with Moldova), 4 draws and 7 losses. In the last campaign for the World Cup finished only 4th in the group … 12 points in 10 matches. Norway played a friendly last week vs. England losing 1-0 but english media and fans said it was a horrible performance from England.

Norway lineup: Nyland – Elabdellaoui, Forren, Nordtveit, Flo – Daehli, Jenssen, Johansen, Skjelbred, T. Elyounoussi – King.

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Italy looks good under Antonio Conte, a manager with proven success. He convinced Pirlo to come back to the National team and Italy played a good friendly last week vs. Netherlands winning 2-0 at home. Atmosphere is good in the squad and of course Italy will be confident in this campaign after a poor showing in the World Cup. But one thing going bad for Italy today is that they miss a ton of players including Chiellini, Pirlo, Montolivo or Balotteli to name the most important.

Italy lineup: Buffon – Ranocchia, Bonucci, Astori – Darmian, Verratti, De Rossi, Giaccherini, De Sciglio – Immobile, Zaza.

Even with a banged up team I think Italy has a good chance to come out with a win. Norway is pure rubbish in the last 1-2 years and they can`t get a win against anyone, let alone a team like Italy. Italy with this young lineup looked great vs. Netherlands and it is consistent with Conte-s playing style so I expect Italy to start the campaign with a good result. The odds could be just a little better but I am still satisfied with betting high stakes on this bet because I can’t see Norway getting anything against a top team. My tip is Italy to win. Correct score prediction: Norway – Italy 1-2.

Pick: Italy
Odds: 1.94 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.52
Event date: 9 September