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After a 0-0 draw in Champions League with Shakhtar, Athletic hosts Granada in the La Liga 4th round.
Looking at the statistics Bilbao didn’t have a good start of the campaign … 2 losses in 3 games, but of course both losses were away … unlucky 0-1 with Malaga, 0-2 at Barcelona. Only home game was an Athletic Bilbao win, 3-0 vs. Levante. In UCL they beat Napoli in playoffs but were a little disappointing vs. Shakhtar … could have even lost. Hosts have very good quality in the team and will start gaining points quickly for sure and they are favorites to reach a TOP 4 place again. Coach Valverde will be a happy man because he has all players fit.
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Granada is undefeated after 3 rounds with 1 win and 2 draws. Last round was a 0-0 draw with Villareal. Granada is playing the same type of football that allowed them to stay in La Liga for a couple of years now … defensive, organized, good disciplined and a lot of effort and running. They can sometimes struggle on road games so at San Mames it will be a big test. Forward El-Arabi will see a late fitness test; it’s the only injury worry for Granada.
Athletic Bilbao might be a little tired after the Champions League game … and Granada is a good, solid team that is not so easy to break down and defeat. But I think Bilbao has the quality to win this … specially with home court advantage that is always key for them. Athletic really needs the points and I see a clever match from them, making sure they don-t leave spaces for Granada and pushing carefully for 90 minutes to get a goal. Odds for Granada to score at San Mames are very slim both in statistics and in reason … so my tip will be Athletic Bilbao to win to nil. Correct score prediction: Athletic Bilbao – Granada 1-0.
Pick: Athletic Bilbao to win to nil
Odds: 2.35 @ Winner
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 10.8
Event date: 20 September
