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Two of the best offensive teams in Bundesliga will meet today at Volkswagen Arena in Wolfsburg and at an early analysis it should be a cracking match to watch.
There has been a single Wolfsburg win so far this season, but what a win that was – a 4-1 drubbing of Leverkusen two rounds ago, right after an 1-4 defeat to Everton in the Europa League. However, Wolfsburg did not manage to replicate the same form in their last game and ended up losing 1-0 at Hertha, a team that was in a bit of a crisis actually. Wolfsburg is a side with great potential but their defensive issues and especially their inconsistency are hurting them badly this season.
Werder is yet to record a single win this season in Bundesliga, but on the bright side they proved themselves hard to beat as well, recording 3 draws in 5 rounds. However the last two matches have been absolutely horrible for Werder, who lost to Augsburg and Schalke, conceding no less than 7 goals in the process! The visitors can surely play football and score goals, but on the defensive and have been simply horrible so far.
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Team news & lineups
Wolfsburg is a little bit banged up today – Ochs, Trasch, Lopez, Seguin and Arnold are all out. Bargfrede and Gebre Selassie are the only injury worries for Werder.
Wolfsburg: Benaglio – Jung, Naldo, Knoche, Rodriguez – Gustavo, Malanda – De Bruyne, Vieirinha, Caligiuri – Olic
Werder Bremen: Wolf – Busch, Prodl, Lukimya, Garcia – Bartels, Galvez, Junuzovic, Elia – Selke, Di Santo
Looking at Werder`s recent form you may feel that odds of 1.50 for Wolfsburg to win are justified, but I reckon the price is way, way lower than it should be. Wolfsburg is one of the most inconsistent teams in Bundesliga, they have won just 1 game so far and they were upset by the likes of Frankfurt or Hertha. Werder on the other side is a side that can play football against the big boys, they proved it with a 3-3 draw at Leverkusen three rounds ago and their recent form will surely act as motivation and increased focus today. Additionally, Wolfsburg`s style will come right into Werder`s hands – the hosts will attack and leave spaces in their shaky defense, a perfect opportunity for Werder to counter. Of course any analysis will say the logical tip here would be the over but at odds 1.40 I will say “No, thank you”. Don`t get me wrong, Wolfsburg is the better team here, but my tip is Werder Bremen to cover the 1 goal asian handicap and I really fancy this pick considering the odds, the team news, the circumstances and the styles of play. Prediction: Wolfsburg – Werder Bremen 2-2.
Pick: Werder (+1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.09 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 7.63
Event date: 27 September
