Leicester and Burnley are coming after bad losses in the last round and will look to change things up this Saturday. Last season in the Championship Burnley held Leicester to a 1-1 draw at King Power Stadium, but City won the reverse leg 2-0 on the road just 6 months ago. Two years ago in the same league Leicester won both meetings.
The impressive Leicester played their only poor match of their Premier League campaign, losing 2-0 at Crystal Palace – they did not play so bad but could have done better against a rather weak side. Maybe it was a letdown after so many tough matches in a short time, as Leicester had to play Arsenal, Chelsea, Manchester United or Everton in the first 4th round, a nightmare draw for a newly promoted team, but a draw from which they took much more than expected (8 points). City is really a solid side and they are backing up their fantastic run in the Championship from last season. Now at home they will hope to repeat the performance which brought them an incredible 5-3 win against United two rounds ago – Leicester is still undefeated at King Power Stadium despite playing Arsenal, Man United and Everton in their three games here.
Burnley was absolutely destroyed 4-0 by West Brom last round, the result coming as an earthquake for a side that was and is putting all their hopes for survival on the shoulders of their defense. Burnley has yet to win a game so far in the Premier League and has scored a single goal in 6 rounds – even more, they have failed to find the net in the last 6 matches in all competition, so their offense is a huge handicap! The visitors can frustrate better teams on their day, especially at home, but it seems pretty obvious that they do not have the quality to compete at this level.
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Team news & lineups
Leicester City is close to a clean bill of health, only missing Upson. Team news for Burnley are much worse, as the visitors will again have to do without a bunch of important players – Jones, Chalaboah, Vokes, Taylor, Marney and Ings. It was obvious last week at West Brom that Burnley does not have the required depth to deal with so many absences.
Leicester: Schmeichel – De Laet, Morgan, Moore, Konchesky – Hammond, Cambiasso, Drinkwater – Vardy, Ulloa, Nugent.
Burnley: Heaton – Trippier, Duff, Shackell, Mee – Reid – Wallace, Arfield, Boyd, Kightly – Jutkiewicz.
If there are still people underestimating Leicester, they are making a big mistake – this team is the real deal. They were utterly dominant in such a tough League like the Championship and are now mixing it up with the best in the Premier League on the consistent basis – they have the heart, the tactical discipline and the individual talent as well. I fully expect Leicester to bounce back after the Crystal Palace loss, this side is too good to play two poor matches in a row, especially with Burnley coming to town. The visitors will try to defend with discipline but once they allow that first goal it should pretty much be over. I`ll bet on an easy Leicester City win, I`m really itching to go for a 1 goal asian handicap but I don`t want to lose the profit in case of a 1 goal win so I will tip Leicester to win with maximum stakes. The odds are just too good, if West Brom had 2.00 against Burnley there`s no way Leicester should have more than 1.75, especially with all those missing players Burnley has. Prediction: Leicester City – Burnley 2-0.
Pick: Leicester City
Odds: 1.81 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 10
Possible profit: 8.10
Event date: 4 October