Finland – Romania

Finland and Romania meet in what could be a very important game regarding the outcome of the Euro 2016 qualifying Group F.

The hosts amassed a total of 4 points from their first two games and I reckon it`s pretty obvious at that time that nobody will come to Finland expecting an easy win. Finland had few trouble dispatching Faroe Islands 3-1 on the road before holding Greece to a 1-1 draw, a match that could have gone either way but eventually the tie was the fair result. The hosts are playing pretty good football, they have a number of quality players and as I said, they are not easy to defeat, especially at home.

Romania was frustrated by a late equalizer in the massive rivalry with Hungary and it has to be said the Romanian were rather disappointing in the 1-1 home draw against a team that is not better than Finland. Very few goalscoring chances for Romania, but the visitors are still sheltered by their 1-0 win in Greece in the first round, a crucial win in perspective of Euro 2016 qualification.

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Team news & lineups

Finland is expected to field a similar lineup to the one they fielded against Greece, while Romania continues to miss main striker Marica and could make 3-4 changes in the lineup.

Finland: Mäenpää – Arkivuo, Toivio, Moisander, Hurme – Sparv – Ring, Riski, Eremenko, Hetemaj – Pukki

Romania: Tătărușanu – Luchin, Gardos, Grigore, Raț – Chiriches, Pintilii – Torje, Sănmărtean, Chipciu – Stancu

Finland`s captain Moisander was surprisingly honest before this game, saying that “he doesn`t know for sure if both teams will play for the draw, but it would not be a bad result for anybody”. Romanian manager Piturca stated a draw would not be bad for the visitors – you won`t get a much clearer indication that both sides will be content with 1 point. Considering the fact that the match is very evenly matched and with very high stakes involved, it is obvious to me that nobody will take to many risks and the logical, most probable outcome is the draw – so that is my tip here and I`ll use pretty high stakes at these excellent odds. Expect cautious football to be played in Helsinki. Prediction: Finland – Romania 1-1.

Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.20 @ Betsafe
Stake: 6
Possible profit: 13.2
Event date: 14 October